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スペインのラジョイ大統領は、失業者は50万0000人以上増えて、25%を超えるだろうと予測??
Rajoy asume que su legislatura se saldará con más paro y 500.000 empleos menos
La crisis y el estancamiento esperado para 2013 aplazan la recuperación del mercado laboral
La media de la tasa de desempleo cerrará 2015 en el 22,3% frente al 21,6% de 2011
Rajoy assumes his term will be settled with more unemployment and less than 500,000 jobs
The crisis and stagnation expected for 2013 postponed the labor market recovery
The average unemployment rate closed 2015 at 22.3% compared to 21.6% in 2011
The Country Madrid 27 ABR 2012 - 18:09 CET
The crisis and stagnation expected for 2013 postponed the labor market recovery
The average unemployment rate closed 2015 at 22.3% compared to 21.6% in 2011
The Country Madrid 27 ABR 2012 - 18:09 CET
The Prime Minister, Mariano Rajoy, has assumed that its legislature, the first after eight years as head of the opsoción, end up with more unemployment than on arrival and the net destruction of approximately half a million jobs, according to forecasts which includes the Stability Program that the government sent to Brussels and which includes the VAT hike in 2013.
As macro contains the table included in this document, which also announced an economic estacamiento 2013, employment will fall by 3.7% this year and another 0.3% next. Recovery will come, in any case from 2014, but it will be so slow that not all dry circuit honoring the abundance of jobs destroyed in the first two years of the legislature. The plan also comes on the same day that EPA has met the first quarter of the year and shows a new peak in the number of unemployed to 5.6 million. The unemployment rate rose to 24.4%.
The fall in employment in Government promises match the return of the Spanish economy into recession in 2012, which is the second in just three years. Disaggregated by exercise, the Executive expects a GDP decline of 1.7% in 2012, causing the elimination of 630,000 jobs. In 2013, coinciding with the return of Spain to the positive growth, albeit with a meager GDP growth of 0.3%, another 60,000 jobs will be destroyed. Meanwhile, in 2014 and 2015 hardly established around about 100,000 in each of these exercises, resulting in a negative balance of about 500,000 jobs end less.
Starting next year, the Executive expects GDP growth of 1.4% in 2014 and 1.8% in 2015. On this side, to reach pre-crisis levels, difficulties in order to consolidate their recovery that the country will recover activity levels before the crisis until 2017, according to recent IMF estimates, equivalent to a full decade loss to its economy.
more informationUnemployment rises to 5.6 million and marks a new highMore than half of young people who want work and are unemployedProvide research services as recession until 2013
Down to the detail of the macroeconomic, the government trusts the recovery of 2013 the external sector. Domestic demand will recede by 1.7% due to a further drop in consumption, both between families and government, and investment, "but much more moderate rates," said Minister of Economy, Luis de Guindos. This moderation will materialize in a decrease of 1.1% of household consumption, compared with 1.4% expected for 2012. The recovery in the cut in public spending is more pronounced, going from a negative contribution of 8% this year to a fall of 4.6%. In any case, this section will not return to positive rates throughout the period provided for in the stability plan.
On this side, the external sector will follow the "trend of recent years," added Guindos, while reducing its positive contribution in 2013 to 1.8%, nine points less than in 2012. The minister stressed, in turn, the trade balance "starts to generate surplus" with the outside, something that has "always has been an economic turnaround." Guindos highlighted the potential of the external sector is explained by the "major adjustment in competitiveness." "Unlike other European economies, the Spanish is competitive and has growth potential," stressed the minister.
As macro contains the table included in this document, which also announced an economic estacamiento 2013, employment will fall by 3.7% this year and another 0.3% next. Recovery will come, in any case from 2014, but it will be so slow that not all dry circuit honoring the abundance of jobs destroyed in the first two years of the legislature. The plan also comes on the same day that EPA has met the first quarter of the year and shows a new peak in the number of unemployed to 5.6 million. The unemployment rate rose to 24.4%.
The fall in employment in Government promises match the return of the Spanish economy into recession in 2012, which is the second in just three years. Disaggregated by exercise, the Executive expects a GDP decline of 1.7% in 2012, causing the elimination of 630,000 jobs. In 2013, coinciding with the return of Spain to the positive growth, albeit with a meager GDP growth of 0.3%, another 60,000 jobs will be destroyed. Meanwhile, in 2014 and 2015 hardly established around about 100,000 in each of these exercises, resulting in a negative balance of about 500,000 jobs end less.
Starting next year, the Executive expects GDP growth of 1.4% in 2014 and 1.8% in 2015. On this side, to reach pre-crisis levels, difficulties in order to consolidate their recovery that the country will recover activity levels before the crisis until 2017, according to recent IMF estimates, equivalent to a full decade loss to its economy.
more informationUnemployment rises to 5.6 million and marks a new highMore than half of young people who want work and are unemployedProvide research services as recession until 2013
Down to the detail of the macroeconomic, the government trusts the recovery of 2013 the external sector. Domestic demand will recede by 1.7% due to a further drop in consumption, both between families and government, and investment, "but much more moderate rates," said Minister of Economy, Luis de Guindos. This moderation will materialize in a decrease of 1.1% of household consumption, compared with 1.4% expected for 2012. The recovery in the cut in public spending is more pronounced, going from a negative contribution of 8% this year to a fall of 4.6%. In any case, this section will not return to positive rates throughout the period provided for in the stability plan.
On this side, the external sector will follow the "trend of recent years," added Guindos, while reducing its positive contribution in 2013 to 1.8%, nine points less than in 2012. The minister stressed, in turn, the trade balance "starts to generate surplus" with the outside, something that has "always has been an economic turnaround." Guindos highlighted the potential of the external sector is explained by the "major adjustment in competitiveness." "Unlike other European economies, the Spanish is competitive and has growth potential," stressed the minister.
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