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スペインの債務危機と財政赤字で、2012年の経済成長率は、ー1'3%からー1'7%へ、2013年の成長率は、+0'2%からー0'2%へと予想変更
Los expertos rebajan sus previsiones para España y prolongan la recesión a 2013
Un informe de Funcas anuncia una contracción del PIB del 1,7% y del 0,2% los próximos años
La tasa de paro seguirá subiendo y llegará al 24,6% durante el próximo ejercicio
Experts are lowering their forecasts for Spain and prolong the recession to 2013
A report Funcas announces a GDP contraction of 1.7% and 0.2% the next year
The unemployment rate will keep rising and 24.6% over the next year
The Country Madrid 26 ABR 2012 - 10:13 CET
A report Funcas announces a GDP contraction of 1.7% and 0.2% the next year
The unemployment rate will keep rising and 24.6% over the next year
The Country Madrid 26 ABR 2012 - 10:13 CET
The debt crisis, sharp cutbacks by the Government to reach the deficit limit in 2012 imposed by the European Union and the subsequent entry into the second recession in three years has caused the decline in the growth forecast for Spain which includes panel of experts has published the Foundation of Savings Banks (Func). The organization, which has gathered data in a report provided by different organizations, companies and associations, reports that no longer expects GDP decreases by 1.3% this year, as anticipated in February, but predicts a reduction of 1.7%.
The present circumstances of the Spanish economy will also affect growth in 2013. GDP recovery may not proceed as anticipated two months ago with the publication of a 0.2% rise, but will continue on the ramp. It is expected a decrease of 0.2%.
The EU requests will not be processed, the statement of Func. Brussels put the Red Line to Spain deficit at 5.3% this year, after Mariano Rajoy give to impossible to reach 4.4% and make sure he would stay at 5.8%. Finally, he accepted the new figure, although the data suggest that not be possible to achieve the goal. By 2013, the EU expects that the deficit does not exceed 3%, but the report also contradicts Funcas and expects this figure is exceeded by 0.4 percentage points.
The study aims Funcas the Spanish economy will continue its contraction during 2013, when 0.2% wane
The reduction in GDP is accompanied by negative unemployment data. The measures taken during the last quarter, including labor reform, influence the forecasts made by organizations, companies and associations, they expect the unemployment rate reached 24% at the end of the year. They have cut 0.6 percentage points from the previous forecast. The positive data recovery in the labor market will also be disrupted next year and is expected that the percentage of unemployed in Spain reached 24.6%.
Following the moderation of the decline in industrial production earlier this year (up 0.6% QoQ annualized rate following the sharp decline of 7.9% in the last months of 2011), the average of forecasts compiled by Funcas predicts a reduction of 3.8% in 2012, which will continue downhill during 2013 with a decrease of 0.5%. Regarding inflation, the escalation in oil prices will cause the annual average is placed at 1.8% while in 2013 will reach 1.6%. Be truncated, then, the downward trend starting this exercise. With the euro between 1.30 and 1.34 dollars, the study concludes with a positive assessment of the coin.
The European Central Bank's measures earlier this year and maintaining the reference interest rate in monetary policy foreshadow the types of short-term interest will remain stable. On the rise in ten-year bond and the risk premium, most analysts think your level is too high for the situation of the Spanish economy.
The present circumstances of the Spanish economy will also affect growth in 2013. GDP recovery may not proceed as anticipated two months ago with the publication of a 0.2% rise, but will continue on the ramp. It is expected a decrease of 0.2%.
The EU requests will not be processed, the statement of Func. Brussels put the Red Line to Spain deficit at 5.3% this year, after Mariano Rajoy give to impossible to reach 4.4% and make sure he would stay at 5.8%. Finally, he accepted the new figure, although the data suggest that not be possible to achieve the goal. By 2013, the EU expects that the deficit does not exceed 3%, but the report also contradicts Funcas and expects this figure is exceeded by 0.4 percentage points.
The study aims Funcas the Spanish economy will continue its contraction during 2013, when 0.2% wane
The reduction in GDP is accompanied by negative unemployment data. The measures taken during the last quarter, including labor reform, influence the forecasts made by organizations, companies and associations, they expect the unemployment rate reached 24% at the end of the year. They have cut 0.6 percentage points from the previous forecast. The positive data recovery in the labor market will also be disrupted next year and is expected that the percentage of unemployed in Spain reached 24.6%.
Following the moderation of the decline in industrial production earlier this year (up 0.6% QoQ annualized rate following the sharp decline of 7.9% in the last months of 2011), the average of forecasts compiled by Funcas predicts a reduction of 3.8% in 2012, which will continue downhill during 2013 with a decrease of 0.5%. Regarding inflation, the escalation in oil prices will cause the annual average is placed at 1.8% while in 2013 will reach 1.6%. Be truncated, then, the downward trend starting this exercise. With the euro between 1.30 and 1.34 dollars, the study concludes with a positive assessment of the coin.
The European Central Bank's measures earlier this year and maintaining the reference interest rate in monetary policy foreshadow the types of short-term interest will remain stable. On the rise in ten-year bond and the risk premium, most analysts think your level is too high for the situation of the Spanish economy.
門家は、スペインの彼らの予想を下げ、2013年に不況を長引かされている
レポートFuncasは1.7％と0.2％、来年のGDP縮小を発表
失業率は上昇し続け、来年以上24.6パーセントでしょう
カントリーマドリード26 ABR 2012 - 10時13 CET
レポートFuncasは1.7％と0.2％、来年のGDP縮小を発表
失業率は上昇し続け、来年以上24.6パーセントでしょう
カントリーマドリード26 ABR 2012 - 10時13 CET
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