欧州行政委員会は、スペインに2015年2016年のさらなる厳しい財政赤字削減を要求
PLAN DE ESTABILIDAD
Bruselas reclama a España recortes “considerables” en 2015 y 2016
La Comisión publica el primer informe posterior al rescate bancario
Advierte de los efectos que puede tener la reforma fiscal en el déficit
Pone en duda la eficacia de la tarifa plana para crear empleo
La vicepresidenta da por concluida la fase de los ajustes
DESCARGABLE Informe de la Comisión y el BCE
Claudi Pérez Bruselas 7 MAY 2014 - 14:12 CET
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PLAN STABILITY
Brussels calls on Spain cuts "significant" in 2015 and 2016
The Commission publishes the first report after the bank bailout
Warns of the possible effects of tax reform on the deficit
He questions the effectiveness of the flat rate to create jobs
Vice President terminating the phase settings
DOWNLOADABLE Report of the Commission and the ECB
Claudi Pérez Brussels 7 MAY 2014 - 14:12 CET
It's an old story. The recovery takes hold , the banking sector improves , unemployment starts down shyly , rescue worked, improve public finances . But the European Commission wants one more dose of the same medicine : Spain seamlessly meet deficit targets for 2014, but the 2015 targets - election year and 2016 are at risk. Brussels calls " significant additional discretionary effort " Lash simple syntactic translation : more cuts , to be included in the stability program , according to the first posrescate banking report, published on Wednesday the Commission after a lightning visit by inspectors to end of March. The government is preparing a tax reform with a drop of "substantial " tax , has said in recent days, the Economy Minister Luis de Guindos . Brussels wants to avoid just that , given that , despite the efforts , the deficit remains above 7% of GDP and public debt is heading steadily to 100% of GDP. " Spain must continue on the path of economic adjustment ," says the report.
Reports from Brussels are a perfect example of " one hand " and then " other hand " . The Commission welcomes bluntly correcting imbalances , improving the overall tone of the Spanish economy and its financial system , the incipient signs of recovery and stabilization in the labor market . But that optimism seasoned with an array of colorful challenges and pinturero like the tail of a peacock.
moreThe Executive reduces the deficit forecast at 3,000 million this yearBrussels predicts a weak recovery and almost no jobs in SpainTourism boosts employmentThe OECD estimates that unemployment will just fall in Spain in 2014 and 2015
"High levels of private and public debt continue risking the recovery and financial stability ," the report says. "The results of the banks are under pressure from delinquency , deteriorating asset quality and impact of the slowdown in Latin America " continues . " There are delays in some reforms ," criticizes , and in the bad bank, SAREB , " faces considerable challenges " to the fall in property prices , which will continue this year financial system. The stabilization of the Spanish economy after the severe crisis drags " take years " augurs predict the general direction for Economic and Financial Affairs Commission .
Far from following the advice of Brussels , the Government has made it clear this morning that is no more adjustments to announce a few weeks before the European elections. Vice President , Soraya Saenz de Santamaria defended in Congress that, after two years of cuts , " now playing measures for growth ."
The big issue in Greece 's debt restructuring . In Italy and France, is the need to adopt reforms. And in Spain , the corner stone of the next few months is to reform a tax system that gets income only 37 % of GDP at the bottom of Europe , the West and the North Atlantic , with public expenditure of 44% GDP , well behind the European average, in advanced countries . The Government has an agenda , but what awaits the Commission is clear from the report presented Wednesday : reform " Spanish should simplify the tax system more secure social cohesion and allow a sufficient level of income."
In fact , the report also states that the country could achieve the deficit targets if achieved consistent growth, which follows that of Brussels calls for tax reform that encourages activity.
In silver, Brussels wants a low direct taxes (particularly on labor) in exchange for an increase in indirect taxes , which opposes the government like a scalded cat , for " positive effects on growth and employment " . The IMF, the OECD and the guardians of orthodoxy spent 40 years with that same singsong . The Commission is perfectly detected the holes through which trickles the collection : " A broadening of tax bases, including the elimination of exemptions and deductions , it is necessary to give leeway to reductions in nominal and marginal rates ." Bastard Translation : reduce the myriad tax deductions such as societies, for example , in exchange for lower tax rates.
For example , in addition , the EU executive and the ECB efecitividad question the flat rate of $ 100 to Social Security . " You can support the development of short-term contracts," he says. But " it is not clear how many new jobs- for example, jobs that would not have created if it had not launched this new scheme , and what you can create with this measure ," he qualifies . " The measure could result mainly in the conversion of temporary contracts into permanent , fulfilling one of its stated goals , while their potential to stimulate the creation of additional employment is uncertain ," they warn .
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