スペインの銀行による会社や企業への融資は、75%の企業が貸ししぶりを経験
La financiación sigue sin llegar a las compañías
El 75% de las empresas denuncia que el acceso al crédito no ha mejorado
David Fernández Madrid 2 FEB 2014 - 00:00 CET
Fuente: Deloitte (Barómetro de empresas, consulta noviembre 2013-enero 2014). / EL PAÍS
出典:デロイト(気圧計&会社は、2013年11月から2014年1月を参照)。 /国
Quelle: Deloitte (Barometer Unternehmen siehe November 2013 bis Januar 2014). / LAND
Funding still get companies
75% of companies reporting that access to credit has not improved
David Fernández Madrid 2 FEB 2014 - 00:00 CET
As much as the famous risk premium is reduced access to financing remains the main headache for managers. Older Spanish business lenders are banks, not international investors and institutions remain open the tap of credit.
The differential extra yield demanded by investors in Spanish bonds over German - considered safer - has gone from 300 basis points in July to 200 points today . This perception of greater solvency of the public debt has been transferred to the private sector to open a window on the market for large companies to place bonds with a much lower cost than a year ago . However, the vast majority of members of the Business Barometer which produces Deloitte are companies of medium and small size , ie , the main line of financing is bank , and this explains that 75 % have not noticed an improvement in access to credit during the second half of 2013.
A majority of managers still suspending the Government of Rajoy
In this period of time has slightly improved the opinion of entrepreneurs from the government of the Popular Party , however , a majority of participants in this survey are suspending the Executive led by Mariano Rajoy. Specifically , increased from 15% to 20 % managers who value the work of the Government on matters that may affect your business financially . Meanwhile, those who consider " bad or very bad " management represent 52 % compared to 53 % in July. 28% of respondents are indifferent on this issue .
Source : Deloitte ( Barometer companies , see November 2013 - January 2014 ) . / COUNTRY
Barometer members expect no change in interest rates
Of all the actions taken by the Government, the right choice because employers are policies related to controlling inflation and labor market liberalization , which shows 44% agreement. Then followed the promotion of exports ( 39% see positive management in this area ) . Instead , decisions which exhibit greater disagreement remain linked to fiscal policy ( raises a rejection of 77% ) and research and development initiatives ( 69% ), both virtually the same percentage as in the previous barometer .
When asked if entrepreneurs are confident that Rajoy and his team go ahead with reforms despite the improved economic conditions , 62% answered yes , 23% believed that the spirit of reform is slow and 15 % do not know / no answer .
Employers still not see that Spain has full control of their destiny. The variable that most affects the local economy , in his view, is the impact of economic trends in other European countries , followed at a distance by the economic and fiscal measures promoted by the Government , and the evolution of interest rates .
Taxation and R & D policies are worse valued by employers
The European Central Bank ( ECB) last November stood at the price of money at their lowest (0.25 %). Mario Draghi , president of the agency, warned at the time that rates will remain at current or lower levels for a long period of time. Employers , however , do not expect further cheapening of money in the first half of 2014. Although deflationary pressures are there , 17% of respondents believe that Draghi will make a move before next June.
Forecast barometer members regarding the currency market is as follows: 50% of respondents believe that the euro will maintain the current exchange rate against the dollar in the first half , 25% believed that the European currency will appreciate against the U.S. , and the other 25 % predicts depreciation.
The price of oil during the second half of 2013 was stable in a trading range between $ 115 / barrel and $ 105. The directors do not expect that in the coming months the barrel of Brent, the European benchmark crude , experience major changes. In fact , 52% of respondents anticipated that oil prices will move between 100 and 110 dollars in the first six months of 2014.
The variables that most influence the business performance in Spain in the current semester will be , according to respondents , foreign demand ( 90 % believe their impact will be positive ) , productivity (88% ) , domestic demand (64%) , labor costs (55 % ) and financial costs ( 45%). Aspects to be a negative influence energy costs , taxation and the exchange rate of the euro.
This edition of the Business Barometer includes a special chapter on scanning. According to Deloitte, in uncertain economic environments becomes increasingly clear how important it is for organizations to have qualified personnel who handle digitization projects , " complex processes of high value to the company." About half of the companies surveyed have developed specific staff scanning processes , " a professional figure that in the coming years will be even more given the influence they have on the achievement of the overall objectives of the companies projects related to the development of information technology . "
The strength of the euro and the cost of energy are some areas for improvement
Companies that do not have specific personnel risk , according to these experts, to enter into a process of " competitive disadvantage " compared to its competitors and not be able to evolve " to speed demanding customers." 50% of participants considered the barometer digitization strategy your company is in line with its competition. The percentage of those who consider themselves leaders face competition is 20% , 20% also feel that your value as backward digitization strategy .
Regarding the benefits that digitization initiatives provide companies , almost half , 48% , believes it is very important to reduce operating costs by shifting more expensive to cheaper digital operational physical operational . The initiative is considered a priority is the development or improvement of online capacity and optimizing web channel.
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