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スペインの国立統計局は、2012年4月ー6月の経済成長率は、ー0'4%、年間の経済成長率はー1'0%と発表、経済の悪化による景気後退
El INE confirma el agravamiento de la recesión en el segundo trimestre de 2012
El PIB cae un 0,4% entre abril y junio frente al inicio de 2011 y un 1% en tasa interanual
La menor demanda interna, lastrada por el consumo y la inversión, frenan la economía
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EL PAÍS
The INE confirms the worsening recession in the second quarter of 2012
GDP falls by 0.4% between April and June from the beginning of 2011 and 1% on year
The lower domestic demand, weighted by consumption and investment, slow the economy
The Country Madrid 30 JUL 2012 - 09:43 CET
GDP falls by 0.4% between April and June from the beginning of 2011 and 1% on year
The lower domestic demand, weighted by consumption and investment, slow the economy
The Country Madrid 30 JUL 2012 - 09:43 CET
The National Statistics Institute confirmed Monday that the recession worsened in the second quarter with a fall in gross domestic product (GDP) of 0.4%, one tenth more than the start of 2012. Year on year contraction of 0.4% goes to 1%. The data confirms the progress we published a little over a week the Bank of Spain and the statistical office also agrees on the causes of the contraction.
"This result occurs because of a more negative contribution of domestic demand, partially offset by a contribution from the positive external demand and order similar to that recorded in the previous quarter," said the INE. The Bank of Spain also alluded to the weakening of private consumption accounts for more than 50% of GDP by the demand side. Furthermore it noted that the recession would have been more intense but for "the moderate recovery in exports."
In the annual comparison, GDP falls and 1%, in line with government forecasts for the full year (-1.5%). The effect of the additional communities (approved in July) and the new changes approved by the Executive (concentrated in the final stretch of the year) will depend in large part to meet the official forecast.
In addition, according to latest government forecasts published updated mid-month, the economy also continue downward in 2013 with a contraction of 0.5% whereas hitherto the Executive expected a 0.2% rise, bringing the recovery will not arrive until 2014. The government then claimed that these figures already include the effect of adjustments, although the International Monetary Fund warned on Friday that, taking into account the cuts announced in early July, the Spanish economy will fall by 1.2%, twice as that estimated in June.
For experts the governing body Christine Lagarde, "the new fiscal consolidation will have a significant impact on growth, especially in 2013." However, in order to achieve applaud the essential, in his view, deficit reduction, which should fall to 6.3% this year and 4.5% of GDP next.
However, by 2014, when it should reach 2.8% and comply with the limits of Brussels, the IMF estimates that the goal will not be achieved unless additional adjustments put in place. It will take "further measures" to achieve the goal in 2014, the year for which forecasts a gap of 3.6%. "For example, in VAT," added the IMF in its report on the Spanish economy published on Friday. This opens the door to new tax increases beyond 21% in the general rate that will apply from September.
For details of the data from the INE for the second quarter it will take later this month because it does not publish details of National Accounts until 28 August.
"This result occurs because of a more negative contribution of domestic demand, partially offset by a contribution from the positive external demand and order similar to that recorded in the previous quarter," said the INE. The Bank of Spain also alluded to the weakening of private consumption accounts for more than 50% of GDP by the demand side. Furthermore it noted that the recession would have been more intense but for "the moderate recovery in exports."
In the annual comparison, GDP falls and 1%, in line with government forecasts for the full year (-1.5%). The effect of the additional communities (approved in July) and the new changes approved by the Executive (concentrated in the final stretch of the year) will depend in large part to meet the official forecast.
In addition, according to latest government forecasts published updated mid-month, the economy also continue downward in 2013 with a contraction of 0.5% whereas hitherto the Executive expected a 0.2% rise, bringing the recovery will not arrive until 2014. The government then claimed that these figures already include the effect of adjustments, although the International Monetary Fund warned on Friday that, taking into account the cuts announced in early July, the Spanish economy will fall by 1.2%, twice as that estimated in June.
For experts the governing body Christine Lagarde, "the new fiscal consolidation will have a significant impact on growth, especially in 2013." However, in order to achieve applaud the essential, in his view, deficit reduction, which should fall to 6.3% this year and 4.5% of GDP next.
However, by 2014, when it should reach 2.8% and comply with the limits of Brussels, the IMF estimates that the goal will not be achieved unless additional adjustments put in place. It will take "further measures" to achieve the goal in 2014, the year for which forecasts a gap of 3.6%. "For example, in VAT," added the IMF in its report on the Spanish economy published on Friday. This opens the door to new tax increases beyond 21% in the general rate that will apply from September.
For details of the data from the INE for the second quarter it will take later this month because it does not publish details of National Accounts until 28 August.
INEは、2012年の第二四半期に悪化景気後退を確認する
GDPは2011年の初め、年に1％から4月と6月の間に0.4％に低下
消費と投資によって加重下の国内需要は、経済を遅らせる
カントリーマドリード30 JUL 2012 - 午前9時43分CET
国立統計研究所は、景気後退は2012年の開始より10分の1以上の0.4％の国内総生産の低下（GDP）と第二四半期に悪化している月曜日を確認した。 0.4％の年間収縮に対する年間は1％になります。データは、我々はスペインの銀行と統計局はまた、収縮の原因に同意週間余りを発表した進捗状況を確認します。 "この結果は、ため部分的に前四半期に記録されている同様の肯定的な外需と秩序からの寄与によって相殺され、国内需要のより多くの否定的な貢献のために発生し、" INEは言った。スペインの銀行はまた、需要サイドでGDPの50％以上を民間消費のアカウントの弱体化に触れた。さらに、それは不況がもっと強烈だがためにされていることに留意した "輸出の緩やかな回復。" 毎年恒例の比較では、GDPの滝、1％、通年の政府予測（-1.5％）と同様である。追加のコミュニティ（7月に承認）の効果と執行によって承認された新しい変更は、（その年の最後のストレッチに集中して）公式予測を満たすために大部分依存します。 これまでのエグゼクティブが0.2％の上昇を期待し、一方に加えて、最新の政府の予測によると公開半ば毎月更新、経済ももたらす、0.5％の収縮で、2013年に下向き継続回復は2014年までに到着されません。政府は、これらの数字はすでに調整の影響を含む国際通貨基金（IMF）は、アカウントに7月上旬に発表したカットを取っている、金曜日に警告したが、スペイン経済は2倍、1.2％低下すると主張したことは、6月に推定した。 専門家の統治体クリスティーヌラについては、 "新たな財政再建は、特に2013年には、成長に大きな影響を与えるでしょう。"しかし、順番に6.3パーセント、今年のGDP、次の4.5％に落ちるべきである本質的な、彼の見解では、赤字削減を達成するために拍手を送る。 しかし、それは2.8％に到達し、ブリュッセルの限界、追加の調整が場所に置かない限り、目標が達成されないことを国際通貨基金（IMF）の推定に従うべきである2014年から。 3.6％のギャップを予測しているのは年間、2014年に目標を達成するために、 "さらなる措置"を取る。 "たとえば、VATでは、"国際通貨基金（IMF）は金曜日に公開されスペインの経済へのレポートに追加しました。これは9月から適用される一般的な率の21％を超えた新たな増税への扉を開きます。 8月28日まで、それは国民経済計算の詳細を公表していないため、2番目の四半期のINEからのデータの詳細については、それが今月後半にかかります。
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