スペインの財政破綻したバレンシア自治州政府の原因は、歳入の不十分、不満足な徴税
ANÁLISIS
Unas cuentas con problemas de origen
El director del IVIE dice que la tesis de que el endeudamiento obedece al mayor gasto no resiste el contraste de los datos.
Francisco Pérez García 23 MAR 2013 - 21:33 CET
ANALYSIS
A source problem accounts
The director says that the thesis IVIE that debt due to higher spending does not resist the contrast of the data.
Francisco Perez Garcia 23 MAR 2013 - 21:33 CET
The Valencian Government has announced a deficit of 3.45% of GDP in 2012 which represents 25% of their expenses. With a debt of 29% of GDP, the interest burden alone will nearly double by 2013 the deficit target of 0.7% set for all communities. Require adjustments as important imbalances of income and expenses to recover severe financial viability. But, faced with the hard stage, it is necessary to note that the origin of such a serious problem is not-contrary to what many think, that the Valencia spends more, but less type.
Valencia is the least spent per capita since 2002 the roof homogenized in powers of communities. Budgetary payments indicate that per capita spending is 78% of average. Incurs a deficit because their incomes are located substantially below the autonomies remaining twenty-five years, when he received education and health skills. This should be known by those who stigmatize the Valencia track as if its debt was the result of a monumental waste. Regardless of questionable spending decisions and inefficiencies obvious, the claim that the debt is due to higher spending does not stand opposed to the data.
The huge regional differences in per capita resources due to funding models. Review after review, after build on indicators of need based on population adjusted, include funds that keep fans of funding per capita of 30%.
Some communities have managed to improve their situation, but not Valencia. He has been at the tail and then continues, with the deviation represents nearly 1,000 million less per year than I was in the middle and 3,000 less than if placed at the head (provincial apart, of course). If between 2002 and 2010 had had average income of communities of common system, with the same expenditure would have avoided 90% of the additional debt and debt was 13% of GDP.
Provide education and health services similar to much scarcer resources consumes a much larger budget. The other activities (infrastructure, economic development, social protection, culture and major events) fits the budget constraint and away from the average per capita spending up to 45 percentage points, but avoid the deficit.
The crash tax after the housing boom and the debt crisis has laid bare to the ranch and Valencia in the mirror is evidence that permanent commitments were transitory income expenditure. Fix it is so imperative financially and economically and socially costly. Therefore, the adjustment should not ignore the fact that a substantial part of the differential Valencian is the structural weakness of the financial system.
If not remedied this problem as Valencian citizens paid-in opportunities and public services and productive, especially the Generalitat providers. In Valencia and public administration account for 37% of GDP by 2015 pursued the Stability Programme for Spain, and the economy is very weak. The GDP per capita in 2012 is the real levels of 1999 and is 87.7% of the Spanish average, having fallen since the 8 to 12 among the 17 communities.
The stereotype that has curdled on the case can only be sustained Valencian getting back to this data. The consequences are serious for the image of a territory whose dynamism significantly contributed in the past to develop Spanish and would do it again. The public must know that it is the only community that combines a negative fiscal balance and a below average income. It seems that the time for Valencia reach basic consensus on a roadmap to end this unfortunate path. Also, check that Spain perspective from which contemplates the situation, helping to solve some problems, being different, can not have the same response as others.
Francisco Perez is a professor at the University of Valencia and research director of the Valencian Institute of Economic Research (Ivie)
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