経済協力開発機構の主任経済者は、キプロスの金融危機は、欧州経済機構危機にはならないと
La OCDE considera que Chipre no supone un riesgo sistémico para el euro
La organización ve una "base sólida" en España para recuperar competitividad y empleo
Advierte de que Europa se está quedando atrás en la mejora de la economía internacional
EFE París 28 MAR 2013 - 11:30 CET
The OECD believes that Cyprus is not a systemic risk to the euro
The organization is a "solid foundation" in Spain to regain competitiveness and employment
Warns that Europe is lagging behind in improving the international economy
EFE Paris 28 MAR 2013 - 11:30 CET
The OECD chief economist Pier Carlo Padoan, considered Thursday that the banking crisis in Cyprus is not a "systemic risk" to the euro zone. Padoan has stressed that, in general terms, the dreaded contagion in the eurozone has been watered down considerably compared to what happened before the summer of 2012 thanks to the announcement of the ECB bailout.
Asked about the possible threat of the situation in Cyprus for the rest of the Eurozone, Padoan has insisted that there is already a solution to the banking system of this Mediterranean country "that may not be handled very well in terms of communication." As recognized after presenting the report of prospects for the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) on the G-7, at first there was "confusion", but it has put a stop to systemic risks.
In its report, known as the club of developed countries explains that "the recent crisis in Cyprus, albeit an exceptional case shows how important it is to address the banking crisis directly and determined, but also put in place appropriate institutions in the eurozone to maintain stability of the banking system. "
The Spanish case
Moreover, the OECD chief economist has emphasized that "there are positive elements" in the evolution of the peripheral eurozone countries, including the "adjustment of current account balances" in part by falling consumption, but also by "improving competitiveness." In the case of Spain, has a "solid foundation" for the recovery of competitiveness and employment growth.
Opening the focus, the agency expects the economies of richer countries grow by 2.4% in the first quarter and to slow down to 1.8% from April to June. "The global economy weakened in late 2012, but the outlook is improving for the OECD economies," stressed Padoan. However, the OECD report also warns that Europe is lagging behind compared to its recovery.
To catch up, Padoan has reiterated that the organization's thesis that the surplus countries, "and in particular Germany, can do more" to boost the euro zone economy, particularly wage increases and the liberalization of the sector services. Bárcena also recommends more flexibility euro zone to cut the deficit and adopt policies to ensure "a more sustainable recovery."
Growth forecasts
According to OECD estimates, the three largest economies of the eurozone will grow by 0.4% in the first quarter and 1% in the second, but the average hides the differences recorded between Germany and France and Italy. In fact, the European train an impressive 2.3% advance in the start of the year and 2.6% from April to June. For the French economy predicts a contraction of 0.6% and a rise of 0.5%, while Italy forecasts a drop in GDP of 1.6% in the first quarter and 1% in the second quarter.
With respect to the United States, the OECD forecasts growth of 3.5% in the first quarter and 2% for the second quarter, while for Japan predicts a rise of 3.2% in the first three months of the year and 2.2% in the second quarter. In the case of the UK economy expected to grow by 0.5% in the first quarter and 1.4% in the April-June period.
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