キプロスの銀行危機の解決策は、他の国にも適用、銀行救済融資を株主、債券購入者、大口預金者が負担する?
Chipre será el modelo para futuras crisis bancarias
Las declaraciones de Dijsselbloem a la agencia Reuters son demoledoras
Claudi Pérez Bruselas 26 MAR 2013 - 02:00 CET
Cyprus will be the model for future banking crises
Dijsselbloem statements Reuters are devastating
Claudi Perez Brussels 26 MAR 2013 - 02:00 CET
Out of the embers Cypriots to run a serious risk of falling back into the hell of the financial crisis: the European economic spring seems to start with a broken corner. Cyprus woke up yesterday with a rescue that prevents the worst scenario imaginable-a bankruptcy, chaos, although the crisis has only just begun: expect a deep and painful recession. Europe woke up with that same sense of relief that lasted barely a sigh. What took the President of the Eurogroup, Dutchman Jeroen Dijsselbloem, to cause a stampede in markets with statements-that-then tried to clarify in which warns that the Cypriot banking crisis will serve as a guide, as a template extensible to other countries that need help for problems caused by a weak financial sector or oversized. If Cyprus serves as a model and come see problems in a bank must pay, in this order, shareholders, holders of bad debt and of the highest quality, and depositors with more than 100,000 euros. Never before in the euro crisis, have paid or senior debt (the higher quality) or deposits. That is new devilish than yesterday triggered a first shock in the banking sector.
Dijsselbloem statements Reuters are devastating. "If there is any risk to a bank, the first question should be: What will you do about those who are in the bank? What can be done to recapitalize? If the bank can not do it, then ask you to help shareholders and bondholders and, if necessary, I will also ask to uninsured depositors. " "If we want to have a sound financial system, the only way is to say: 'Look, you took risks; afróntenlos, and if they can not then they should not have taken them," he told Reuters. That interview caused deep unease in the European institutions.
The discomfort with the president of the Eurogroup in Brussels spreads
By mid-afternoon, half Dijsselbloem denied that Cyprus will be the model now. In a measured statement, said: "Cyprus is a specific case with challenges that require exceptional measures as those adopted. There is a macroeconomic adjustment plan tailored to the country, but have not used a template to Cyprus ". But the damage was done. When upset Capitals, who demanded that rectification-joined the Brussels. Sharon Bowles, chair of the Committee on Economy of the Parliament, criticized that "statements like those of Dijsselbloem-even-show has backed political miscalculation or misinterpretation of the crisis." "In Europe we are not short of individual talent," he said regarding the Cyprus crisis management, "but it is clear that the institutional mechanisms do not stop working. Especially when part of the spread is attributable to the interests or taboos of some big countries. "
The paradox is that both philosophy that follows from his statements as agreed solution in Cyprus are getting full speed in European legislation: already implemented a directive on bank resolution to the Cypriot way from 2018, and the ECB has spent months pushing for such measures forward to other than the taxpayers who foot the bill, with the idea that banks should be able to break free for States to pay the piper. The only problem is the tempo, the opportunity: the European financial system failed, assume Dijsselbloem plans take a can of gasoline on the entities that are facing major problems and are undertaking drastic restructuring, as some Spanish savings banks.
They pay depositors a banking crisis is an old dream German
The poisoned chalice of Dijsselbloem reopens doubts about banking, especially in the countries hardest hit by the crisis. As happened when the Eurogroup agreed Cypriot depositors punish less than 100,000 euros-something that has disappeared from the final agreement, the market fears that customers are going to safer havens (in the arms of the most creditworthy entities) when they see any sign of weakness in a bank. And there are signs of weakness in droves, with a recession plaguing half of Europe, but it is almost a social depression on the shores of the Mediterranean.
At least, the EU and the IMF concluded an agreement on Cyprus who disassembles the worst case scenario: a potential bankruptcy with a devastating contagion effect. The markets were greeted with cheers that covenant morning. But at noon Dijsselbloem reopened the can of worms with this reference to Cyprus as a role model. In Cyprus shareholders paid large troubled banks and creditors and uninsured deposits. That development is tricky: never in the euro crisis has been to pay the piper high quality debt (known as senior) or depositors, even those who are above 100,000 euros. Banks stop only return deposits and senior debt ultimately: life going at it, the trust of its customers.
Dijsselbloem words alone can not make a return to the starting square of the financial crisis. At the same time, are a shovelful of salt and pepper over the open scar between creditor countries, which are experiencing a crisis placid, and the periphery of Europe, which pays the years of excess and pass the vociferous statements of some politicians North . Make that depositors and creditors who pay a banking crisis, in general, all-risk takers is a laudable aspiration old Germany and the Netherlands, the country of Dijsselbloem. But now you can throw garner accusations of acting as Dutch minister and as president of the Eurogroup: if there are doubts among creditors and depositors of the periphery (banks and Greek Cypriots, but also Portuguese, Irish, Italian and Spanish even) money could speeding away north.
The controversial bailout of Cyprus was buried by the reactions to the barrage of President of the Eurogroup. But the difficult agreement reached euro partners and Cyprus saved a match point. "Cyprus was close to bankruptcy," said Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso. Nicosia agreed, after resisting like a scalded cat, restructure the largest banks (Bank of Cyprus) and close the second (Laiki). In exchange for the 10,000 million of aid, will pay depositors, many of them Russian-Bank of Cyprus and Laiki with more than 100,000 euros in the account, and prior to the shareholders and creditors. There will playpen and capital controls. And the country should purge his years of excesses with a fiscal adjustment plan, reforms and privatizations. But the problems of Cyprus and will never Cypriots only: whether the approach to solve its banking crisis applies to other European banks, the system of incentives when choosing a bank or another will have changed forever.
0 件のコメント:
コメントを投稿