スペインの国内総生産は、国内需要の減少で2013年1月ー3月には2012年12月より0'5%減少。2012年1月ー3月よりは2%減少
La caída de la demanda interna hace caer el PIB otro 0,5% en el primer trimestre
El INE confirma que el decrecimiento fue tres décimas menor al tramo final de 2012
El ajuste del gasto público vuelve a acelerarse en el primer trimestre del año
Frena el descenso del consumo, pero España encadena su séptimo trimestre en recesión
Alejandro Bolaños Madrid 30 MAY 2013 - 09:51 CET
The fall in domestic demand brings down another 0.5% GDP in the first quarter
The INE confirms that the decrease was less than three tenths final stretch of 2012
The setting is again accelerated spending in the first quarter
Stop the decline in consumption, but Spain shackled his seventh quarter in recession
Alejandro Bolaños Madrid 30 MAY 2013 - 9:51 CET
The great weakness of domestic demand continues to hinder the evolution of the Spanish economy, which already connects seven quarters in decline, just four years after the Great Recession left to destroy value. The National Statistics Institute has confirmed on Thursday that between January and March, GDP 0.5% left over the final stretch of 2012. In the annual comparison, the drop is 2%, as the INE had anticipated a month ago.
The quarterly GDP decline is attenuated when compared to what happened in the fourth quarter of 2012, when it fell 0.8%. But still remains very strong: since 2008, when the Great Recession started, only five quarters have yielded worse results.
The household expenditure goes back down, despite being compared with one of the worst quarters
The slowdown in the decline in GDP is parallel to the slowdown in the decline in household consumption, which back a quarterly rate of 0.4%, far from the crash (-1.9% quarterly rate) of the final months of 2012 . But good part is that the comparison is made with an extraordinary period, marked by the suppression of the wages of the officials and the lack of durable goods, advanced to the summer to circumvent the VAT hike in September. In addition, household spending back down, even compared to one of the worst quarters of the crisis for private consumption.
Furthermore, the poor performance of domestic demand (in annual terms, the decline, -4.7% is hardly less intense than the 4.9% of late 2012) turns despite the cuts in public spending, which reactive at the start of 2013 (-1.2% quarterly rate), when in the final stretch of 2012 had eased (-0.3%).
Adjustment of public spending
The public setting felt on investment, with another significant decline (2.5% quarterly rate) in the construction area by the scarcity of public works. One of the few positive notes reflecting national accounts this quarter is the improvement of the investment in equipment, influenced by the recovery of exports of goods, reduced from 5.4% back in the final quarter of 2012 to achieve a minimum advance (0.2%) between January and March.
The improvement in exports of goods allowed to transform the retreat of the last months of 2012 (-1.8%) in growth (1.2%) at the start of 2013. A positive development was reflected in March trade surplus in the first Spanish economy in decades. But he failed to reverse the decline in foreign sales, to the poor outcome of services exports, which fell by 6.6%.
Overall, exports intensify the pace of decline, from -0.9% to -1.3%, and linked, for the first time since the collapse of international trade in 2009, two negative quarters. Only the decline in foreign purchases (-1.7%), keeps the positive contribution of the external sector to GDP growth.
National accounting confirms what we already advanced the Labour Force Survey, that job destruction was again very strong in the first quarter. Over the same period of 2012, there is a 4.5% less busy, a decline similar to that of the last four quarters. Also continues apace wage moderation. Only the increase in business profits and production taxes push up prices slightly.
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