スペイン政府は、2015年、2016年には、600'000(60万)人の雇用創設を約束
CONTABILIDAD NACIONAL
El Gobierno promete que se recuperarán 600.000 empleos en dos años
Aun así, el nivel de empleo de 2011 no volverá hasta el próximo 2018
Guindos confía en que baje el paro en la legislatura por la población activa y el tiempo parcial
Espera un crecimiento del PIB del 1,2% este año y del 1,8% en 2015
El crecimiento de la economía coge aire con un avance del 0,4% hasta marzo
DESCARGABLE Actualización del Programa de Estabilidad
El País Madrid 30 ABR 2014 - 14:02 CET
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NATIONAL ACCOUNTS
The Government promised that 600,000 jobs will be recovered in two years
Still, the level of employment will not return until 2011 the next 2018
Guindos confident that lower unemployment in the legislature for the workforce and part time
Wait a GDP growth of 1.2% this year and 1.8% in 2015
The growth of the economy gets air with a rise of 0.4% through March
DOWNLOADABLE Stability Programme Update
The Country Madrid 30 ABR 2014 - 14:02 CET
The government has promised to create 600,000 jobs between 2015 and 2016 despite having assumed not recover employment levels he found when he took office three years after the legislature in 2018. According to the new macroeconomic framework that has approved Wednesday the Cabinet , employment will grow by 0.6 % this year , 1.2% in 2015 and , by 2016 , expects the labor market recovery take verve with a rise of 1.5 % provided in national accounting terms . However, the improvement will not be enough to offset the deterioration in the labor market suffered since 2011, when the cabinet Mariano Rajoy took over the reins of the country .
Between 2012 , 2013 and the start of 2014 have destroyed 1.2 million jobs, according to the recently published Labour Force Survey for the first quarter, resulting in a further decline in employment.
moreThe labor market continues to destroy jobs in the first quarterConsumption and business investment driving growthBrussels , we have a fiscal problemThe Executive reduces the deficit forecast for 2014 3.000 millionThe biggest tax break will be after the elections
The new macroeconomic framework also includes an improvement in the unemployment rate to drop to 24.9 % on average this year and will remain at 23.3% in 2015. This decline , however , it should be more to a decline in workforce and work part time as a return of jobs lost since the start of the crisis. In addition , we have to wait to 2017 to see a rate of less than 20 % stop after reaching 21.7 % in 2016.
In terms of growth , the economy minister , Luis de Guindos , has confirmed that the new projections an increase of GDP of 1.2 % this year and 1.8% in 2015 , five and six tenths collected over I expected so far. From 2015 , in 2016 will grow 2.3% in 2017 and will be when you approach the potential of the Spanish economy, which is 3% .
"They are very conservative assumptions ," Guindos defended with reference to the parameters used to build new accounts , interest rates, the euro and oil prices , are prudent . In addition, he stressed that " first " postiiva be a contribution from the external sector as both domestic demand , which in his opinion is "an example of a much more balanced growth." Consumption has confirmed , will rise for the first time after three years in the negative , the same evolution that will investment.
Deficit targets
His colleague in front of Hacienda , Cristóbal Montoro, reported meanwhile that have lowered the deficit forecast this year by three tenths to 5.5% of GDP. As for 2015 and 2016 , has confirmed that the targets of 4.2% and 2.8% are maintained. The minister also stressed that the public debt of all Administrations end 2014 of 99.5 % compared to 98.9 % expected previously. In 2015, exceed 101% and , as has been highlighted Montoro, achieved from 2017 to be below 100 %.
Moreover, on the long-awaited tax reform delayed summer, revenue projections accompanying table shows that macro changes will cost 5,300 million euros for state coffers between 2015 and 2016. Much of the reduction therefore be effective in two years , once the elections have concluded .
Data carousel
The review of the macroeconomic picture is part of the updated Stability Programme that the Government sent to Brussels along with the National Reform Plan . The last update of the figures have in setting economic policy of the Government and receive the approval of the European Commission agrees with the publication of an important data set in this same time macro that despite the optimistic speech Government, just consolidate the recovery .
On the one hand , the increase of first quarter GDP does show signs of improvement with a rise of 0.4% compared to 0.2 % at end- 2013 and IPC confirms the return of inflation in April with another 0.4 % . While, on the other side , the index finds that the retail sector has just grown back after lower sales in March and , finally, is the balance of payments , which has not had a good figure .
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