スイスの銀行のLOMBAND ODIER銀行の副社長のフレデリック=ロしゃ(Frederic Rochat)のスペインの金融(銀行)危機についての面談記事
FREDERIC ROCHAT / SOCIO DIRECTOR DE LOMBARD ODIER
“El mercado ya descuenta un rescate”
David Fernández 30 SEP 2012 - 01:59 CET
FREDERIC ROCHAT / Managing Partner of Lombard Odier
"The market is already pricing a bailout"
David Fernandez 30 SEP 2012 - 01:59 CET
Lombard Odier is one of the most authentic representatives of Swiss banking. Since its founding in 1796 by Jean Henri Hentsch and Gédéon Lombard, seven generations of private bankers have contributed to the development of the group continues to operate as a family business. Frederic Rochat is managing partner of the organization despite being only 35 years. A great example of precocity, Rochat has a degree in Economics from the University of St. Gallen. Most of his career has worked in investment banking at Goldman Sachs in London and New York. He was appointed managing partner of Lombard Odier this year.
Question. Spain has undergone a major capital flight since the crisis began. How many customers Lombard Odier has won the past five years?
Response. On capital flight must be careful because the numbers can vary depending on which variables are taken. People are really concerned about the crisis, and if a few years ago customers were asking only for returns, now demand safe havens for their money. Right now is selected carefully where is reversed, and not only from a fiscal perspective, but also of management capacity and robustness. Investors have realized that large institutions may be more fragile than they thought. We have benefited from this context thanks to the strength of our balance sheet, our specialization (commercial banks do not) and the flexibility they offer. When a client comes to Lombard Spanish, we open an account in Spain. However, if we question the future of the euro or other scenarios, can bring our money to other branches in London and Luxembourg. All our services are within the European Union and implemented transparently.
"People do not ask only profitability but safe havens"
P. Have you noticed the Spanish customers concerned about the changing political, economic and government tax?
R. I think in the Spanish market there are two aspects that focus. The first is the public administration reform. The biggest short-term problem of the Spanish economy is the deficit. People understand that the Government has undertaken major reforms, but others such as administration reform are yet to develop. The other major concern of customers is the strength of the financial system.
P. The Spanish government has launched a tax amnesty. Do you think it is a good idea? What are recommending to their clients?
R. The tax amnesty does not affect our customers. All factored in Madrid and their situation is completely transparent. In the event of Spanish citizens with accounts outside Spain and that money has not been found, I think you should look carefully at the terms of the amnesty and evaluate different aspects. One of these is economic uncertainty: maybe those who repatriate their capital not interested amnesty for the situation to be found.
"Much of the money comes from opaque generations"
P. What has been the impact on Swiss private banking data leak the names of HSBC accounts in the country?
R. It is an isolated case affecting HSBC and is not representative of the policy or Switzerland as a financial, political or other local entities. The country remains very focused on preserving the confidentiality of customer data. Bank secrecy, however, can not be, and less in economic times like the present, an obstacle to the State tax policies. Is that why Switzerland has reached an agreement with three countries (Germany, Austria and Switzerland) and curb evasion through accounts that have not been fully reported, without thereby violating bank secrecy.
P. He is referring to Rubik agreements. Do you think that Spain should join?
R. He should not be the one who says what Spain should or should not do. Spain has to assess the outcome of tax amnesty and the impact they have had these agreements for countries that have already signed. I am sure that Switzerland would be happy if you give over Spain.
P. Economic sanctions for high net worth money that has escaped the Treasury are not usually too expensive. The real punishment usually comes to your reputation if your name is made public. Do you think it is right that an evader keep paying anonymity?
"Concerned citizens should study in detail the tax amnesty"
R. The crisis is doing very pragmatic and governments are willing to allow the repatriation of capital if that helps reduce the deficit. On this subject I mean there's a misconception when people talk of tax evasion. Most of the capital's opaque in Europe do not correspond to the present generation. The continent has had a very turbulent history and much of this wealth arose from complex economic times. In most cases, the heirs of that money would be happy with the possibility of regularizing their situation provided that a stable legal framework.
P. In Spain, and also in much of Europe, there is much debate about whether Spain should ask as ransom. What is your opinion?
"The ECB's policy gives time for countries to reduce their deficits"
R. The markets have discounted that there will be a ransom demand. That is the reason why the price differentials in debt have fallen in the last month. For this situation some stability is extended must have an effective rescue or the Government should issue clear signals to the market that it is meeting the deficit target and that the financial sector is well capitalized. If not, and if not ask for help, the risk premium will probably pre-summer levels.
P. Do you think the risk is real euro break?
R. We have spent five years of crisis and people have become very cautious in predictions. It is very difficult to know whether something will happen or not. I must say, however, that the risk of rupture of the euro today is lower due to the messages given by the European authorities, especially by the European Central Bank (ECB), that will do everything in their power to make that scenario is not met. The willingness of the ECB to intervene in the bond market has reduced debt spreads and that gives time for countries to implement austerity measures and deficit reduction.
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