ギリシアは、2012年11月に310億0000'0000ユーロが必要、国家には金がない
Grecia confía en nuevas medidas de apoyo tras pactar otro plan de ajuste
Atenas tendrá dos años más, hasta 2016, para reducir el déficit al 3%
El nuevo plan de recortes previsto es de 13.500 millones de euros
Claudi Pérez Bruselas 24 OCT 2012 - 14:20 CET
Greece hopes for further support measures after agreeing another adjustment plan
Athens will have two more years, until 2016, to reduce the deficit to 3%
The new plan is planned cuts of 13,500 million euros
Claudi Perez Brussels 24 OCT 2012 - 14:20 CET
Signs of resignation of the European Union in Greece dissipate, the departure or expulsion of the euro is less likely since the visit of Chancellor Angela Merkel to Athens, a couple of weeks. The political agreement is already there, and is just watch it. The first step was taken on Wednesday: the Greek government announced a deal with the dreaded troika (the European Commission, the International Monetary Fund and the European Central Bank, whose officers are also a few days in Madrid) to apply the nth adjustment program, amounting to 13,500 million. In the midst of an economic depression, in return for that extra exertion Greece buys time: two years-until 2016 - to decrease the public deficit to 3% of GDP, according to the draft memorandum.
And yet, everything is in its infancy. Neither the troika and Berlin confirmed Wednesday that agreement on further fiscal and structural measures, nor about the two-year bull to reach a deficit of 3%, essential to the recession not hit by what remains of the Greek economy . The ECB President Mario Draghi, said the decision is not taken yet. "There is no new information", he added German Finance Minister, Wolfgang Schäuble, who wants to see the full report of the Troika before giving the green light to the deal. But Athens is determined to accelerate the pace, if necessary to resit a Eurogroup later this month. S tough: Greece needs the money because the cobwebs from public coffers are obvious. Without EU funding, the country would run out of money for running costs (teacher salaries, pensions and other) as soon as throughout November.
From retruque, the fog lifts in Greece affects directly to Spain and its virtual second bailout, everyone assumed, but has disappeared from the headlines Anglo. Markets facts given by the two additional years for Athens, as given by the aid application safe from Spain. Both issues are just a matter of time. "But the sequence of events is crucial," said European sources.
The Greek parliament will vote on the new measures next week
"Greece is Ecuador", European diplomats repeated for some time, with the logic of Portugal is not Greece, Ireland is not Portugal, Spain is not Ireland, Spain and Italy is not so ad infinitum. Ecuador and Greece is not in effect, but has spent five years in recession, with unemployment at record levels, particularly among young people, public finances in tatters, public debt above 170% of GDP and serious difficulties financial system. With cracks between the coalition government and commotion in the streets day after day. Amid this poisonous broth, Finance Minister, Yanis Stunaras, announced Wednesday an agreement on the new dose of austerity required by troika in exchange for two additional years to meet deficit targets. The Greek Parliament will vote next week that package. The yes is assumed: the opposite would be political suicide; Greece should declare bankruptcy because European aid not arrive in time. "The question is whether the Greek society, very tired and by several rounds of cuts, tolerate another course of action," diplomatic sources explained.
The new plan includes cuts and a new labor reform, which has caused dissension among the governing coalition (the conservative party of President Antonis Samaras, the Socialist PASOK and a small training center). Greece could eventually delay the timing of labor market reforms and the energy market, in addition to the plan of privatization and the sale of real estate assets. Finally, there may be no extension of the working day (to make it easier for the Greeks to work six days a week) and Athens has managed to soften the reduction of severance. But the draft is not clear yet how it will finance the budget gap in 2013 and 2014.
Greece needs the aid payment of 31,000 million in November
"The bottom line is now unlock the aid tranche payment of 31,000 million euros in November," according to diplomatic sources. So fundamental that if that money Greece can not cope with the basic functioning of government. The rush and troubles are fertile ground for the extravagance: the debate in Greece revolves around a possible German proposal, which would pay the aid by European and Greek tax revenue in an account with a certain external control, according to a leaked document by PASOK. Without going so far, Schäuble spoke on Wednesday of "mechanisms" and "automatic stabilizers", without specifying. "We are not a protectorate," said Socialist leader, Evangelos Venizelos.
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