ユーロ圏の経済は、2012年4月ー6月には、2012年1月ー3月に比べると0'2%の景気後退
CRISIS ECONÓMICA
La economía de la Eurozona se asoma a la recesión en el segundo trimestre
El PIB de los 17 países de la moneda única cae un 0,2% respecto al inicio del año
La mitad de los países de la zona euro se encuentra en recesión
París y Berlín resisten mejor de lo previsto las turbulencias económicas
El País Madrid 14 AGO 2012
meses del año.
ECONOMIC CRISIS
The eurozone economy looks to the recession in the second quarter
The GDP of the 17 countries of the single currency is down 0.2% at beginning of year
Half of the countries of the euro zone in recession
Paris and Berlin resisted better than expected economic turbulence
The Country Madrid 14 AGO 2012 - 14:53 CET
The march of the economy in the Eurozone is slowing down. The GDP of the countries of the single currency fell 0.2% in the second quarter from the first three months of the year. The contraction is due to one-third of the 17 countries that are part of the euro are in recession. Spain, Italy, Portugal, Greece and Cyprus join two or more consecutive quarters down, the report published by Eurostat this morning. The growth of the 17 had been no earlier this year. In annual terms, GDP fell 0.4% in the euro area and 0.2% in the European Union.
The UK is in recession as GDP contracted 0.7% in the reference period, which has now lasted three consecutive quarters of negative developments. Romania, by contrast, managed to emerge from recession by posting a slight increase of 0.5% between April and June compared to the fall of 0.1% and 0.2% in the immediately preceding quarters. Surprisingly the data from Finland, whose economy declined by 1% between April and June after rising 0.8% in the first quarter. The best result recorded Sweden, pulling the European economy with a growth of 1.4%. Belgium shrank by 0.6% following growth of 0.2% at the beginning of the year.
The sharp drop in Portugal from 1.2% the second quarter is surprising since it is in full implementation of its economic program. The Passo Pedro Coelho Government is undertaking reforms imposed by Brussels. This data is attached to the unemployment rate, which reached record highs to reach 15% in the second quarter, a tenth above the 14.9% recorded the first three months of 2012, according to the Portuguese statistical office. Luso Executive forecasts suggest that the percentage of unemployed will reach 15.5% at the end of the year and up to 16% in 2013.
Growth is slower not only in Europe but that the debt crisis in the Old World also affects other of the largest economy in the world. United States and Japan also suffered a small brake during the second quarter. In the U.S., experienced an increase of 0.4%, after growing by 0.5% during the first quarter, while Japan progression was 0.3%, a significant drop compared to 1 , 3% of the first three months of the year.
France and Germany, better than expected
German and French economies have endured better than expected financial turmoil of recent months. France, which feared a relapse into recession for the second quarter, has stood by the hair and GDP growth has been maintained with 0. For its part, Germany, where the Central Bank expected a rise of just 0.2%, has experienced a growth of 0.3%, according to a first estimate of the Federal Statistical Office, a wave of consumption and export, which offset the fall in investment.
The German economy grew by more than some forecasts, but experts say it will not continue with a good growth unless decisions are taken collectively in favor of the single currency. "The progression turned out to be pretty solid, but may be the last quarter with good news for Germany for a while. The economy may contract in the summer," said Joerg Kraemer, chief economist at Commerzbank. The growth in the first quarter was 0.5%.
At least seven of the 17 euro area countries are currently in recession, causing the drop in exports in Germany. Business confidence fell for the third consecutive month in July and industrial production has contracted. "The German economy depends heavily on exports, it is fortunate that the growth level was maintained during the rest of the year," said an economist at Daiwa International Markets in London.
The Germanic statistics institute said that economic growth occurred in a scenario in which a total of 41.6 million people were employed, representing an increase of 514,000 workers over the same period of 2011.
In the case of France, but has avoided entering recession forecast the central bank is the third quarter of stagnation, according to the National Institute of Statistics and Economic Studies (INSEE), which has revised down the growth of the third quarter 2011 (0% instead of 0.1%). The household consumption fell by 0.2% while imports increased by 1.8% against 0.2% increase in exports. Thus, the trade balance subtracted half a point to GDP growth.
Inflation in France
Inflation has fallen by 0.4% in July from the previous month and remains in a rise of 1.9% compared with July last year. The fall was due mainly to the summer sales and fresh produce. French inflation had not stopped rising since August 2011, reaching peaks of 2.5% year on year, until April, when he began to relax.
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