ドイツ経済調査局(IFO)によるとドイツ企業の不況(不景気)感は増加傾向
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Enrique Müller Berlín 27 AGO 2012 - 21:03 CET
Growing fear of recession in the German business
German business confidence fell in August to its lowest level since 2010
Enrique Müller Berlin 27 AGO 2012 - 21:03 CET
The German economy is still in good health, but heads of large companies do not hide their concerns about the effects it could have on the country's debt crisis in the euro zone. Fear of recession has been embedded in the German business, a reality that was reflected yesterday when the German Institute for Economic Research (IFO), based in Munich, announced his famous index that measures the business climate prevailing in the country. The German business optimism is almost in tatters. The confidence indicator in August saw its fourth consecutive monthly decline to stand at 102.3 points, its lowest level since March 2010.
"The German situation continues to weaken," said Institute president Hans-Werner Sinn, noting that the decline in the index is due to the murky world expectations and the debt crisis in Europe. "The decline was weaker than the previous month," he added, by way of consolation.
The IFO index, considered the most effective thermometer to measure the temperature of the German economy, is in accordance with the responses to a questionnaire sent to 7,000 monthly to companies in the construction or manufacturing.
Companies in the latest survey revealed that expectations for exports are negative, a fact that bodes just bad news for the world export champion. The German economy was no longer immune to the recession that is affecting several European Union countries, including Spain. 40% of exports go to the EU.
"A turnaround is only possible if it disappears insecurity caused by the debt crisis," said the chief economist at Commerzbank, Jörg Krämer. A Deutsche Bank report also noted that the situation will suffer an impact from the second half of the year. "Economic growth will be almost zero," he predicted.
While in Berlin, the finance ministers of Germany and France, Wolfgang Schäuble and Pierre Moscovici, announced the creation of a task force that will address the crisis in the eurozone. According to Moscovici, the group will discuss about the implementation of the measures for Spain, related to the recapitalization of banks and also on structural aspects such as banking supervision, banking union and European integration. "We want to bring our views, which in fact are not away, and sharing that France and Germany are the pillars of a structural solution and we want to intensify the exchanges in the perspective of the next European Council," said the French minister.
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