スペインの経済省の国務長官は、スペインの国内総生産は2013年の春には経済成長するだろうと予測?????????
Economía augura que el PIB volverá a crecer en la segunda mitad de 2013
El secretario de Estado estima que 2012 acabará mejor de lo previsto
EFE Economía Madrid 15 NOV 2012 - 12:26 CET
Economics predicts that GDP will grow again in the second half of 2013
The Secretary of State believes that 2012 will end better than expected
Economy Madrid EFE 15 NOV 2012 - 12:26 CET
The Secretary of State for Economic, Fernando Jiménez Latorre, has said that, after falling 0.3% in the third quarter, the Spanish economy will grow again in the second half of 2013 and has insisted that there are "positive signs" that demonstrate the strength and resilience of Spain. Also, is confident that the gross domestic product by the year end achieved better than expected.
At a press conference, Jiménez Latorre has not specified whether this would occur GDP growth in the third quarter of next year or in the room but also has asserted that the forecast fall in GDP of 1.5% by the end of 2012 " will be less negative. " "We think we will end the year less evil than advertised although our estimates are conservative," he said after adding that although the cumulative decline of the economy currently stands at 1.6%, "it is likely that the forecast is less negative ".
The Secretary of State has considered the moderate decline of 0.3% of GDP in the third quarter on quarter, the significant improvement in exports of goods and services and competitiveness. He has also said that for the first time has achieved a range of funding capacity external dealings.
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Jiménez Latorre noted that the evolution of the economy in the third quarter was less bad than expected so that "everything suggests" that GDP will end the year with a fall below 1.5%. On the effect of VAT in moderating the decline in GDP has pointed out that the increase took effect in September and although there is a part that had a positive impact on the economy due to the advancement of purchases, "there is another part of the quarter in that VAT no influence. "
The Secretary of State has considered the moderating job losses in one tenth as much on quarter year but recalled that in the past year have lost 788,500 jobs full time. Furthermore, he pointed out that the labor productivity has grown and compensation per employee is stable, which contributed to increases in competitiveness and lower labor costs.
In this sense, Jiménez Latorre said that the labor adjustment in the private sector has already been completed, while highlighted the "imporant" fall in government consumption, "coherent and necessary" to the process of adjustment required to meet the deficit targets set for the coming years. On the controversy over whether the executive extend the income tax hike in 2014, has said the priority is to meet the goals of fiscal consolidation. "This is the condition and thus subject all adjustment measures," he said in line with the words of his minister, Luis de Guindos, who is in favor of continuing the measure even though when it launched in December anunción as temporary.
Moreover, Jiménez Latorre has denied that Spain has requested financial assistance or a line of credit to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has said that this option "is not being considered." Instead, the option being considered by the Executive is going to plan attendance European Central Bank (ECB) on buying debt in the secondary market but "there is still no decision," he pointed.
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