スペインでは、住宅ローン未払いによる立ち退きが、政治問題の中心に(過去5年間で400'000件に登る、現在400'000件が裁判中)
La tensión social desborda la política
Rajoy cambia el paso por los desahucios mientras el PSOE lanza una campaña de acción solidaria
Fernando Garea Madrid 17 NOV 2012 - 22:31 CET
Social tension overflows policy
Rajoy step changes the evictions while the PSOE launches a campaign of solidarity action
Fernando Garea Madrid 17 NOV 2012 - 22:31 CET
Social tension has changed over the policy. In recent weeks, the Prime Minister and the leader of the PSOE and his lieutenants have repeatedly spoken between them confidentially shared social concern that has been generated by evictions. After months without agreements, Mariano Rajoy and Alfredo Perez Rubalcaba and Soraya Saenz de Santamaria and Elena Valenciano have agreed to alter their political agendas and rectify previous positions to deal with the drama caused by mortgage defaults for the most needy.
The finding of the drama-two suicides and social mobilization of citizens groups-has moved PP and PSOE to study and promote mitigation measures and fill parliamentary activity in the coming weeks, as amended by the growing social tension. Government sources note the PSOE and the concern that this tension will increase in coming months, due to the increase of citizens left without benefits exhaust the legal maximum.
Never have so many unemployed with no income, the figure increases exponentially and anticipate an unprecedented forecast of bad debt and, therefore, of potential evictions. In these families, in addition, pay for drugs, limited school lunch aid is reduced VAT Unit and up, up to data showing that, for example, the median household income has fallen from 2,000 euros 2007 and the rate of household savings is halved. And many families are used as "reserves".
Some figures of social drama
Caritas Assistance. Since 2007 has increased by 174% the number of people served by their host services, from the 370,000 that year assisted more than one million in 2011.
Coverage. According to the Ministry of Employment, unemployment coverage is 63.5% of the 4.8 million registered unemployed plus Prepares Plan, which affects 200,000. Estimates by the PSOE on Encuestra Force (EPA), in 2013 the number of unemployed without coverage will exceed three million, almost double that in 2010.
Long-term unemployed. A total of 154,067 unemployed receipt of benefits are more than 720 days and the other 72,524 are receiving between 661 and 720 days. The largest group is that of the 605,286 unemployed who have been between 121 and 240 days.
Family income. Has risen from 26,000 euros per household in 2007 to 24,000 last year.
Wages. The average increase this year is 1.3%, but in the new agreements wages grow at 0.7%, down from 3.4% in prices.
Training. According to the Foundation for Knowledge and Development, the number of unemployed with higher grade title was multiplied by 2.8 between 2007 and 2011. The registered unemployed university graduates come to 12.4% of graduates (5.2% in the EU).
More precarious. It has increased by two million the number of people who in 2007 were in a precarious situation, according to data provided by the Union Ministry of Finance Technicians (Gestha).
Rajoy, who has faced two general strikes in a year, asked this week in the Argentine newspaper La Nacion if concerned "have increasingly violence in the streets", he answered: "Not the best of situations, and I worry, How will I care? ". Therefore, government sources admit the need to change the pace to study palliative measures, such as evictions, to address the social exclusion. The difficulty, support is the lack of public resources, especially in communities and municipalities. And the room for maneuver is limited by EU supervision, as has happened with measures to stop the evictions.
In the PSOE of extra concern and soon will launch a campaign called # rescatealaspersonas, which seeks to turn its members and their agents based in social action. That is, to function as the old village houses, promoting volunteer members, so that in their free time work with the disadvantaged. The PSOE leadership explained that the circumstances require aside strict policy to address social explosion.
According Metroscopia polls for the country, up to 90% and in the flesh feels the effects of the crisis and, as estimated by Valeriano Gómez, former Minister of Labour and Socialist deputy, in 2013 there will be over three million unemployed without benefits . Employment reduces that number and ensures that the coverage rate is 63.5%, supplemented with Prepares Plan (400 per month), income and other benefits regional reintegration. The problem is that the hard Prepares than six months and the lack of economic recovery prevents cease to be unemployed.
According to Gomez, between 2010 and 2012 have doubled the unemployed without benefits. "Tickets are growing, and a lot, and in the last year up the outlets for exhaustion of rights". "Nearly two million unemployed (2.6 million EPA) receive no benefit and this had not happened since the 80's, when there was a developed system of unemployment assistance," he adds. According to official data, 154,067 unemployed more than 720 days are collecting unemployment and therefore exhausted its provision.
General impoverishment
Gomez explained that this process is linked to a general impoverishment, since in the last two years, wages have grown below 2012 prices and the gap is widening as never following the implementation of the labor reform that limits collective bargaining.
The government says it does not believe that social tension will result in outbreaks of violence, but Interior has developed specific plans and anticipated events related to concrete and protests by minority and marginal. Al PSOE concerned citizen disaffection and protests arising outside parties and unions. The first consequence of social tension and pessimism to the crisis is precisely this distancing citizen institutions.
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