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OECDによるとスペインの失業率は経済先進国中で最悪で、2012年には24'5%、2013年には25'3%になると予想
La OCDE avanza que uno de cada cuatro españoles estará en paro en 2013
España será el país desarrollado con más desempleo este año y el siguiente
El informe del organismo afirma que en 2012 la tasa subirá al 24,5% y al 25,3% en 2013
Este nivel de desempleo supone batir la marca histórica alcanzada en 1994
http://economia.elpais.com/economia/2012/07/10/actualidad/1341910987_646284.html
Archivado en:
- Previsiones económicas
- OCDE
- Política económica
- Desempleo
- Empleo
- España
- Organizaciones internacionales
- Trabajo
- Relaciones exteriores
- Economía
Fuente: OCDE / MZ / El PAÍS
The OECD advances that one in four is unemployed Spanish in 2013
Spain will be the developed country with more unemployment this year and next
The report of the agency says that in 2012 the rate will rise to 24.5% and 25.3% in 2013
This level of unemployment is beating the previous record achieved in 1994
Miguel Mora Paris 10 JUL 2012 - 13:47 CET
http://economia.elpais.com/economia/2012/07/10/actualidad/1341910987_646284.html
Spain will be this year and next the country in the developed world with more unemployment. High above Ireland, Greece and Portugal, unemployment will continue to increase in 2012 and 2013 to over the next year the record registered in the first quarter of 1994. Then reached 24.55% in 2013 will rise to 25.3%. One in four working-age Spanish can not do it this year or next, estimates the annual report on employment of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), released today in Paris. The agency expects that Spain will end 2012 with an average unemployment of 24.5%, three points higher than 2011. And in 2013, recession and the announced cuts will exacerbate the situation: the index will rise to 25.3% on average, which means that at the beginning and end of the year, unemployment may be even greater.
The 250-page study is very discouraging for Spain and painful for the euro area, Cinderella global unemployment. The editorial of the OECD states that "short term, improved labor market depends largely on the economic situation and, therefore, is determined by factors that the authorities can not control." This phrase is very significant in a body every now and claim labor reforms. Multilateral agency experts add, in any case, it is important to stabilize the banking crisis in Europe to begin to regain employment.
The unemployment rate in the 34 OECD countries was 7.9% in May 2012, equivalent to about 48 million people, nearly 15 million more than when the financial crisis began in late 2007. But the OECD projections indicate that job creation will remain very weak in many advanced countries, and that unemployment will touch 8% in late 2013. In the euro area, unemployment will grow more than anywhere, and will continue before stabilizing at around 11% in 2013.
The great concern of the institute is the high level of youth unemployment
The major concern of economists at the institute are the high levels of youth unemployment in countries like Greece and Spain doubled the overall index. For the overall OECD area in May the number of young unemployed exceeded 16%, unchanged from last year. But there are differences bleeding: the rate is 8% in Germany and over 50% in Greece and Spain.
The study shows that youth unemployment increased in all OECD countries except Austria, the Czech Republic, Portugal, Sweden and Turkey. And the increases over four percentage points occurred in countries heavily affected by the crisis and where the previous rates were already quite high, such as Ireland and Spain.
Uneducated youth are the hardest hit by the crisis. In four years, the Spanish rate of young ni-ni (neither in school nor working) increased from 6.9% in 2007 to 12.6% in the first quarter of 2011. Meanwhile, in Ireland rose more or less the same, 5.4% and in Greece and Slovenia less: 3.5%.
It also grows everywhere the long-term unemployment. In the last quarter of 2011, more than one third (35%) of all unemployed in the OECD had been a year or more without work and seeking work. In countries of the euro, about 44% of all unemployed are long term, and the figure rises exponentially in the U.S., where it goes from 10% in 2007 to 30% in the first quarter of 2012.
The study encourages politicians to continue labor market reforms and claims to be more effective if combined with other structural reforms. For example, say OECD economists, reducing the gap in unemployment protection between permanent and temporary workers who have rushed Greece, Italy, Portugal and Spain have more impact if coupled with reforms in sectors with strong potential creation of employment such as retail and professional services.
Large differences between countries
Since the beginning of the crisis, there has been a remarkable diversity among the 34 OECD countries regarding the behavior of their labor markets. Nine have almost full employment, with figures ranging between 3.5% and 5.5% (Australia, Austria, Japan, Korea, Luxembourg, Mexico, Netherlands, Norway and Switzerland). A little lower stood Germany, where the crisis does not seem to have happened, because the index is down 8.2% from December 2007 to 5.6% in May 2012. And at the other end of the scale, nine countries had double-digit rates: Estonia, France, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Portugal, Slovakia and Spain. The figures are highest in Greece, Ireland and Spain, where the jobless exceed 15%.
In the past six months, the unemployment rate in the EU has remained stable, while in the U.S. has increased. But now the forecast is bad for the whole OECD: unemployment will continue to affect over 40 million people this year and next, and only recorded a small fall in late 2013.
4人に1人は2013年に失業スペイン語であることがOECDの進歩
スペインは今年と来年より失業率の先進国になります
機関の報告書は、2012年にはレートが2013年には24.5パーセントと25.3パーセントに上昇するという
失業率はこのレベルは、1994年に達成し、前のレコードを破っている
ミゲル·モラパリ10 JUL 2012 - 午後01時47分CET
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