スペイン大統領のマリアノ=ラホイ氏は、年金の支出を減らすためにいくつかの選択肢を準備
Rajoy maneja varias alternativas para reducir el gasto en pensiones
Anular la revalorización por el desvío sobre el IPC ahorraría unos 4.000 millones
El Gobierno puede echar mano del fondo de reserva si hay déficit estructural en el sistema
La reforma para condicionar los pagos a la esperanza de vida permitiría ahorros a medio plazo
Alejandro Bolaños Madrid 21 SEP 2012 - 12:24 CET
Rajoy manages several alternatives to reduce pension spending
Cancel the revaluation the detour on the CPI would save about 4,000 million
The government can dip into the reserve fund if the structural deficit in the system
The amendment to condition payments to life expectancy would allow savings in the medium term
Alejandro Bolaños Madrid 21 SEP 2012 - 12:24 CET
The government is on the table for weeks several alternatives to reduce spending on pensions, the only major budget item Executive President, Mariano Rajoy, has safeguarded from cuts. Next week will be crucial to determine if this is still the case. Even in the milder rescue formula, which advocates Spain, the Eurogroup pose negotiate new terms. And the European Commission wants to go beyond the reform approved by Zapatero's socialist government, in 2011, it rises, gradually, the retirement age from 65 to 67 years.
The Economy Minister Luis de Guindos, told his colleagues at the last meeting of the Eurogroup that next week will be announced reforms. Around the same time, the Finance Minister Cristobal Montoro, presented the draft budget for 2013, which includes a review of how to go public accounts this year. Both quotes are essential to see if the government opts for a rebate and medium term pension expenditure, via reforms, immediate adjustment or both at once.
For the most pressing problem, how to cover the gap between revenues and expenses this year, a deficit covered by advances of the central-, Social Security has seized the money left by mutual accidents for years (4,400 million euros). And the Government is already more than half of that cost 7,000 million supplements to lower pensions. But the poor performance of quotations suggests that it will take more. A boat soon, the executive will have the option of not paying the diversion of pension increase (1%) on inflation (which will end the year around 3%). It would be a saving of 4,000 million-half is computed in this exercise, the rest in 2013 -. Also a broken promise to the doors of new voting polls (in Galicia, the Basque Country, and presumably, Catalonia).
Another option is to use the reserve fund pensions, the bank that has nearly 70,000 million euros. For this, the pension system must have incurred "structural deficit", a situation defined by a set of criteria in the law, which can be fulfilled at the end of this year. The last alternative is to leave much of the gap emerge from Social Security (including the diversion on unemployment benefits) and use well the accepted margin of adjustment Brussels in July, raising the allowed Spain public deficit from 5.3% to 6.3% of GDP, about 10,000 million euros. But would imply that no other level of government (central, regional and local) deviated from its objectives.
On the reforms to come, the very Guindos was assumed to be legal changes to limit early retirement. And the government is also ready to anticipate (was planned for 2027) the definition of the sustainability factor in the pension system, which will determine the main parameters (retirement age, period counting or pension increases) to life expectancy. Your application will lower pensions, a later retirement age or more cicateras revaluations, but the savings in spending will be gradual, limited in the short term even if already approved.
The European Commission also launched in June to expedite the reform schedule in 2011 to raise the retirement age, which would reach 67 years in 2027. The proposal to Brussels, which would anticipate the planned expenditure savings, fell after European Council recommendations to Spain to control the deficit. But that was before the Executive Rajoy was forced to ask for help to finance.
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