国際通貨基金は、経済予想を下方修正
La crisis obliga al FMI a revisar sus previsiones en apenas tres meses
La debilidad de la recuperación deja desfasadas las proyecciones del Fondo de julio
Lagarde dice que "el trabajo no está terminado" y que el tiempo de las decisiones es ahora
Sandro Pozzi Nueva York 24 SEP 2012 - 18:29 CET
The crisis forced the IMF to revise its forecast in just three months
The weakness of the recovery leaves Fund projections outdated July
Lagarde said that "the work is not finished" and that the time for decisions are now
Sandro Pozzi New York 24 SEP 2012 - 18:29 CET
The work is not finished and the time is now. The Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund thus asked Western governments to seize the "window" of opportunity opened with the latest decisions of central banks to take action and make the actual final push needed to get out of a crisis outdated has left its forecast for the global economy in just three months. "We are projecting a recovery, but global growth will still be a little weaker than we anticipated in July," Lagarde warned.
For the IMF, the priority is still Europe, but on the campaign trail also has a touch of U.S. intent. "We need a sustained rebound, bouncing not go," said the head of the financial institution in the speech before the autumn summit, which this year was held in Tokyo (Japan). "If this time we want to be different, we need certainty, no more uncertainty" clinched the leader in its appeal before the Peterson Institute in Washington.
The international economy is still a long way from where it should "
Lagarde, who on Wednesday will meet with German Chancellor Angela Merkel, he once again welcome the decisions taken in recent weeks by the European Central Bank, the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan. But the French former minister warns that the global economy still faces risks and political uncertainty continues ballast. Although the IMF is committed to a gradual recovery, growth will be somewhat weaker than it said in July.
The Fund currently does not give precise figures, to be presented next week to coincide with the annual meeting of the agency in Tokyo. In July predicted that gross domestic product (GDP) of the world economy would remain at 3.5% in 2012 and by 3.9% in 2013 due to the recession in the eurozone, which according to those projections recorded negative growth -0.3% this year before recovering next with an increase of 0.7%. Three months later, Europe is at the center of debate, and to the euro crisis is concentrated all the load when requesting a real and urgent action by their leaders. "Markets want to see a coordinated implementation, multiple players playing a game," he insisted.
Lagarde reiterated his defense by a bank union "strong" and "effective", and calls start "as soon as possible" to break the vicious circle between the banking crisis and sovereign debt. He said there is no alternative to structural reforms and fiscal adjustment, but admitted that austerity should be done if threaten growth. And immediately afterwards led the pointer to the United States, dubbed by the "tax gap".
We need a sustained rebound, not mere rebounds. It's time to be different "
Christine Lagarde, IMF chief
The U.S. Congress has just come into recess without reaching an agreement to raise the federal debt ceiling. Not return to work until after the presidential election. If prior to year end no settlement is reached, will enter into force a series of automatic spending cuts and tax hikes that threaten to push the economy into a new recession.
"The current uncertainty poses a serious threat to U.S. and global economy." Warned. And even if it solves this problem in time to avoid an action taxmageddon, Lagarde stressed the need for Republicans and Democrats to agree on a formula that allows them to "reduce debt gradually over the medium term."
Christine Lagarde concluded that political leaders in Europe and the U.S. have made important promises to be met to complete this complex puzzle. Nor did he mention the plight of the Spanish labor market, especially among young people, which has a "massive human cost." "The global economy is still a long way from where it should be" but the pieces, riveted, are already in place, allowing glimpses rompecabazas image. But to complete, he added, "all belong together."
The IMF managing director also mentioned in his speech to the slowdown in emerging markets, which until now was based recovery and is showing its vulnerabilities both internally and externally. Also to the growing tension in the Middle East, which could undermine the transition initiated by the Arab Spring.
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