スペインの"登録"失業者は2012年8月には38'179人増加して、4'625'634人に達し、未登録失業者を加えるとスペインの失業者は約5'700'000人に、社会保険加入者は136'762人減って、16'687'977人に、
La crisis deja solo dos trabajadores cotizando por cada pensionista
La proporción entre afiliados y jubilados pone contra las cuerdas a la Seguridad Social
El número de cotizantes cae al nivel más bajo de los últimos ocho años
Miguel Jiménez Madrid 5 SEP 2012 - 00:21 CET
The crisis leaves only two workers for every pensioner trading
The ratio of retired members and puts on the ropes to the Social Security
The number of contributors falls to lowest level in eight years
Miguel Jimenez Madrid 5 SEP 2012 - 00:21 CET
Unemployment is the main problem of the Spanish economy. But the loss of jobs is both aggravating the other major economic imbalance: the public deficit. Forecasts wielding Employment Minister Fatima Banez, and Hacienda, Cristóbal Montoro, have been shattered by the reality of the numbers. The number of Social Security members fell in August to its lowest level for the past eight years, while unemployment increased again after four months of seasonal lull. Less income and projected expenses have caused the Social Security that first dip into its reserves to pay pensions, while the payment of unemployment benefits also disrupts government forecasts.
The increase in unemployment in August was lower than expected by experts. The number of unemployed registered at the offices of the public employment services rose by 38,179 people in the month, up to 4,625,634 unemployed. The increase is less since 2006, and well below the average of the last few years. In reality, the number of registered unemployed is less reliable than that casts the Labour Force Survey, the best thermometer labor market, which at the end of June amounted to 5.7 million unemployed. The registered unemployment figure depends on the point unemployed and the fact that more and more unemployed and not receiving benefits have been deleted recruitment bonuses tied to be pointed to unemployment may help explain the difference between both counts being bigger, ie that more and more unemployed not pointed to unemployment.
The Government suggests that the bank will use early pension
Figures from the Public Employment Services that do not call cheating is affiliated to the Social Security and, on that side, yesterday's figures are more negative, as the average membership of August (16,685,977 contributors) is the lowest since February 2004, eight and a half ago, after the fall of 136,762 contributors in the month.
The ratio affiliates / pensioners basic sustainability of the pension system, has fallen to 2.39, the lowest level in 10 years, as estimated by the Social Security. But that relationship is actually misleading because it takes into account 2.76 million members who are unemployed and listed by Social Security itself. Stripping out, at the end of August there is only 2.05 trades workers each 8.1 million pensioners, the lowest proportion since 1999.
A decline in stock prices and higher than expected increase in pension expenditure surprisingly much higher than the government estimated (although the evolution of pension expenditure is one of the more predictable variables) have on the ropes liquidity of Social Security. The achievements of the State have not been sufficient to pay and extra pay Social Security July has had to resort first of its reserves, as confirmed yesterday by the Secretary of State Thomas Burgos.
Reserve funds have resorted to which are the Prevention and Rehabilitation, the remaining money management mutual that has been accumulating for years. The government has already prepared the ground in May this use with legal reform. Yesterday, Burgos confirmed that Social Security was employed in July 4400 millions of Prevention Fund for the payment of pensions. Specifically, on July 4, the government authorized the use of two batches of 1,700 million each, on July 24 did the same with two other items of 500 million. So that, currently, in the background are about 400 million euros.
The PSOE refuses to touch the bank of pensions
But also Burgos hinted that Social Security will use the bank of the pension reserve fund that has more than 67,000 million before year end. "After five years of intense crisis, the system still has not needed the reserve fund, and our aims is to use all the means at our disposal to manage these commitments, and the reserve fund is one of those mechanisms," said at a press conference.
According to Secretary of State, the Government's objective is to meet commitments on pensions using "all elements of management at your fingertips" and the fund is another element. Burgos described as "not relevant" possible discussion on this fund. You do not understand well the PSOE, which put the outcry against this possibility. Secretary of Economy, Inmaculada Rodríguez-Piñero, demanded the Government through a party statement that "do not touch the pensions piggy bank to try to fix their mistakes in fiscal policy." According to Rodríguez-Piñero, the crisis "can not be an excuse to touch pensions piggy bank" and stressed that the socialist government "reserve fund swelled from 15,000 to 67,000 million despite having faced four years of crisis" and proposed alternatives, for example, a tax on large fortunes or decrease Social Security revenues and contributions made by leaving caregivers of dependents.
Requests for contributory benefits soar 34%
The government made a mistake in the estimated revenue from contributions and the pension expenditure, but the error was still higher than budgeted spending on unemployment. In the first seven months of the year, entitlement spending has grown by 5.4% to 18.455 million, as the government had anticipated a fall of 5% in the year.
In July that spending accelerates and grows by 8.05% to 2593.6 million, according to figures released yesterday by Jobs. But in addition, have soared high and requests for new features, which are the best indicator of future trends in spending. In July, new requests exceeded the bar for new requests million after growing by 23.5% over the same month last year. And so they grow more strongly requests are not subsidies or income inclusion, but the applications of contributory benefits, the most expensive, which grew by 34% compared to the same month of 2011.
The government also hoped that the new unemployed had less rights than those who are losing accrued benefit, ie waived less unemployment and less time, but relapse into recession slows the return to occupation and employment is claiming of permanent workers, who are usually entitled to charge a higher unemployment and longer.
The government forecasts wrong in spending on pensions and unemployment partly explain the deficit has already exceeded what the Government planned for the year, which has caused a severe adjustment plan that includes the VAT increase and the cut unemployment benefits. This year, however, the cuts will have no effect on the unemployment benefit will be 50% of the contribution base instead of 60% from the seventh month of perception, since the measure only affects new job seekers.
Construction remains the destroyer of jobs
M. J., Madrid
Membership in August is quite marked by seasonal factors. Thus, increases employment in tourism and falls hard in education and industry, which lower their activity in summer with higher intensity. But do not miss your appointment with job losses since the crisis started is the construction sector, which is still destroying jobs in spades four years after the housing bubble pinchase.
The membership figures provided by the Social Security not distinguish between residential construction and infrastructure, but it is thought to have been the slowdown in public investment that is causing the biggest declines in employment in the last year, since most share of employment in the construction of homes destroyed in the early years of the crisis.
The truth is that in the last 12 months, the construction sector has lost 207,004 members, 22% of those who still had a year ago. That's more than quadruple the rate of decline in overall scheme members, which is 4.89%.
Interestingly, real estate activities (excluding construction) is, along with higher household employees, the only sector growing membership, perhaps an indication that the market is ready to get moving.
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