北朝鮮の脅威は、はったりか?
¿Escalada de amenazas o farol retórico?
Este julio se cumple el 60º aniversario del armisticio que puso fin a la guerra
Jose Reinoso Pekín 2 ABR 2013 - 19:39 CET
Climbing? Rhetorical threats or bluff?
This July marks the 60th anniversary of the armistice that ended the war
Jose Reinoso Beijing 2 ABR 2013 - 19:39 CET
Rupture of the armistice of the Korean War (1950-1953); threat of nuclear and missile attacks, cutting the lines of communication with Seoul; statement of being "state of war"; commissioning of nuclear facilities. The sequence of actions, retaliation and war statements made in recent weeks almost daily by Pyongyang, in response to UN sanctions for its nuclear test last February and military maneuvers held in South Korea and the United States in the South, seems to have no limit.
But why is this crescendo of rhetoric and threats?, And how far will Pyongyang? The talks to dismantle North Korea's nuclear program have been suspended since 2009, and North Korea seems to have little interest in your resume. Experts believe, rather, that the Northern regime is trying to keep the tension alive crisis on the Korean peninsula to draw attention of the international community, to future negotiations with the U.S., while proof of what wood is made the new president of South Korea, Park Geung-hye, and reinforces the people's loyalty to his young North Korean leader Kim Jong-un, with an aura of military power which lacks, given his youth around 30 years and inexperience.
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This year is especially important for the Korean peninsula since the July 27 marks the 60th anniversary of the signing of the armistice that ended the Korean War (1950-1953), and, according to experts like Huh Moon-young, the Korea Institute for National Unification, Pyongyang will try to change the armistice by a peace treaty. Hence the North is trying to force the machine to normalize relations with the United States, which, chastened by past experiences and what he considers the lack of clear commitment from Pyongyang to end its nuclear weapons program, has adopted a policy of show military muscle and wait.
South Koreans are familiar with the provocations of his neighbor, but the level of aggressive rhetoric of recent weeks has raised concerns. Both Washington and Seoul have said they are taken "very seriously" threats and are alert to the possibility of an attack, but also stressed that military mobilizations have not detected or repositioning of forces in the North.
Experts believe that Pyongyang is unlikely to embark on a large-scale conflict because that would be suicide for the regime, but fear they could explode skirmishes and incidents such as the November 2010 bombing of the South Korean island of Yeonpyeong, in the which killed two South Korean soldiers and two civilians, or the sinking of a South Korean warship in March of that year, which killed 46 sailors, and, according to international research committee, was caused by a North Korean torpedo, which Pyongyang has denied.
The speech given last Sunday by Kim Jong-un at a meeting of the Central Committee of the Workers Party, and has been published today by the official KCNA news agency, seems to push the possibilities of a direct confrontation with the United States, thanks to its nuclear arsenal and interest in advancing economic reforms. "Our nuclear force is a reliable deterrent and a guarantee to protect our sovereignty," said Kim. "Peace, prosperity and happiness of the people may be on the basis of a strong nuclear power."
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