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Impedir o evitar los desahucios
Una amplia dación en pago podría completarse con un plan de apoyo público como el de Roosevelt en 1933
Xavier Vidal-Folch 3 ABR 2013 - 21:57 CET
Prevent or avoid evictions
A large payment in a plan could be completed with public support for Roosevelt in 1933
Xavier Vidal-Folch 3 ABR 2013 - 21:57 CET
There are two ways to end the tragedy of the eviction. One is to prevent them. The other, avoid them. And maybe they can be combined.
The human tragedy is hurtful. The suicides of borrowers on the verge of eviction has been stopped temporarily due to the outcry, civic mobilization and the judgment of the Court of Justice of the EU that allows judges to stop the process if there are accusations of unfair terms. But there they are, to the shame of us all. Of all.
The figures, although they were invisible, are shocking: 391 032 evictions in 2008-2012 (through third quarter). Those are 198,000 pending. Course add all kinds of evictions from homes to offices or garages. In any case, many are family households: 88% of mortgage loans to housing is concentrated in the first residences.
The way to prevent evictions for the brave is the proposed payment in the Platform of People Affected by Mortgages (PAH) whose spokesman Colau Ada. Not meant the possibility of home delivery as mortgage payment on a universal basis, contrary to what is said, but in the case of primary residence.
The proposal has an advantage: it is clear, radical, and would provide immediate relief to many citizens. And in a sense, is provided, as the excessive indebtedness error committed by the family is the error back the credit institution that granted it, sometimes with forceps. There has been a boom in real estate history without the complicity of a banking system should finance it. No Pontius can wash your hands, all Pilate must contribute something to the solution.
The negative impact of the payment in kind is threefold: legal uncertainty, raise the price of future mortgages and further aggravate banking accounts
The negative impact of this formula, which too quickly dismisses the Government, is threefold. Any measure retroactive causes legal uncertainty, but can be invoked force majeure and neighboring legislation.
Also, raise the price of future mortgages because the banks would grant in exchange for many more collateral and higher interest rates that covered the scare of tailed them brick: that hinder access to housing for the less installed, perhaps it should from the point of view of individual and collective responsibility, and foster-rent-, but not be a social achievement to be proud of.
And spoil bank accounts, what little interest to the public, if you just pay your bill. How much the spoil? So far the bank has estimated the broken 4,000 million. If only that there should be no problem to find them, even left a large remnant of the bank rescue, negotiating with the EU, perhaps could be used. Play for a limited prejudice the tendency of families to sacrifice everything, before the mortgage impagar. And so, the very modest housing delinquency: 3.49% of total loans, only a third of the total arrears.
But the loss figure could increase: unemployment mulberry shoots, and this must be added the floors already awarded to the bench. In an adverse scenario, the audit of Oliver Wyman September 28 provided for a 5.5% loss. And would deteriorate mortgage bonds that packaged these loans, totaling 425.000 million.
Therefore, a payment in very broad basis for all cases of vulnerability and risk of exclusion that prevents many of the evictions, could be supplemented by another formula, which avoids. And that allows families to continue living in their homes and the banks do not sink.
The Franklin Delano Roosevelt applied the June 13, 1933, after two months of brand new office, and the four years of the Great Depression. Rode the HOLC (Home Owners' Loan Corporation), a public body that banks bought mortgage creditor positions in exchange for bonds. And from those positions restructured household debt declines in unemployment and suffocated by the crisis: he takes away; extended terms from the usual five years to 20, and lowered interest rates, an operation that saved 25 million families, by 4,750 million euros, 8.4% of U.S. GDP. Decreased "substantially" the number of evictions, the suspensions of individual payments, and the effort to pay the mortgage. The history of this initiative will find in Dealing with household debt, Chapter 3 of World Economic Outlook published by the IMF in April. Does the copy?
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