欧州委員会は、スペインの2013年の財政赤字削減目標を国内総生産の4'5%から6'5%に緩和して、2年延長して2016年までにスペインの財政赤字を3%ー4%に引き下げるが、財政赤字削減政策は続行。(強行?実現脅迫?)
Más flexibilidad con el déficit pero también más recortes
Por: José Luis Gómez| 24 de abril de 2013
More flexibility with the deficit but also more cuts
By Jose Luis Gomez | April 24, 2013
Rajoy and Santamaria in the Congress of Deputies. / Efe, in the Country.
On one hand, the Spanish are told that there will be more flexibility to meet the required deficit reduction. On the other, you will announce more cuts, no tax completely rule tweaks.
Let's see the data. In Spain there will be more cuts, according moved the Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy. His executive tweaked "some budget", but for now Rajoy gave no clue, except that it will not be "as last year." Asked if there will be tax increases, Rajoy said: "We will not raise VAT or income tax in 2013 but depend on the forecast." For now, it seems that this Friday there will be no tax increases. In short, it is all very open, while the low risk premium and the stock rises.
For Spain is very important, fundamental, that the European Union supports a deficit target between 6 and 6.5% in 2013 and granted two more years, until 2016, to reach the final correction of the deficit at 3%. If the Government of Mariano Rajoy closes that scenario or similar will have some room to design strategies for growth, but you can not fail in the attempt. "The margins for stimulus policies should be exploited sensibly, without favoring new sectoral or geographical bubbles", proposes an editorial in El Pais.
As reiterated the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in its latest reports, the austerity policies implemented in very short periods imperatively aggravate the recession of the countries with the least credibility of its debt and exacerbate the discontent of citizens. Unless Angela Merkel, almost nobody believes that austerity is the output. But in fact Angela Merkel is not alone: it has behind 80 million Germans, who assist their adjustment measures and savings in the euro zone to protect an expansionary monetary policy that could lead to inflation and damage their investments. If the Germans depends-and vote in September, the chances are that nothing will change, but in the world there are not only Germans.
Other currency areas, the dollar, the pound and the yen, tested different monetary policies, more expansive than the euro, with the peculiarity that in the first three cases are central banks three countries, the U.S., Britain and Japan , while in the fourth there is a central bank controlled by one country, Germany, which makes decisions on all other euro countries, including Spain, with hardly can do anything but obey what dictates.
It seems unlikely that these two situations are sustainable over time: neither the euro zone against the other three major currency areas, or the current functioning of the European Central Bank. Chances are that Germany and the Bundesbank move tab, so that more flexible policies and adjusting budget deficit. The fiscal and monetary austerity is no longer the only solution.
More difficult will solve the problem of democratic deficit in the European Union and, by extension, the European Central Bank, where Germany is likely to have an important role but not the only role. The current situation condemns other countries of the euro to be a kind of autonomy in a federal state that is not there yet, and that is something that will eventually change.
For Spain, as important as fiscal austerity, which may be necessary, is applied to the growth incentives to leave at least the recession. Because obviously there has to be out, just as it should be balanced and proportional to the effort of everyone in this difficult process. Does it make sense that over the weakest contribute to emerge from the crisis the most powerful? There you have it, but some of that is happening with the transfer of income from work for the benefit of capital income, without anyone correct. @ J_L_Gomez
欧州委員会は、スペインの2013年の財政赤字削減目標を国内総生産の4'5%から6'5%に緩和して、2年延長して2016年までにスペインの財政赤字を3%ー4%に引き下げるが、財政赤字削減政策は続行。(強行?実現脅迫?)
赤字とのより多くの柔軟性だけでなく、よりカット
2013年4月24日|ホセ·ルイス·ゴメスによって
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