スペインの2012年の財政赤字は国内総生産の7%だが、銀行救済を勘定に入れると国内総生産の10'6%にたっする。欧州最悪。ギリシアの財政赤字はGDPの10%。
El rescate a la banca eleva el déficit público al 10,6%, el mayor de la UE
Eurostat certifica que el desfase de las cuentas en 2012 sin las ayudas financieras es del 7%
La deuda pública española es la que más rápido crece en los últimos meses entre los Veintisiete
Alemania fue el único país de la Unión Europea que acabó con superávit presupuestario
La corrección de Eurostat eleva al 7,1% el déficit sin ayudas
Alejandro Bolaños Madrid 22 ABR 2013 - 11:16 CET
The banking bailout deficit rises to 10.6%, the highest in the EU
Eurostat lag certifies that the accounts in 2012 without financial aid is 7%
Spanish public debt is the fastest growing in recent months between the Twenty
Germany was the only European Union country that ended budget surplus
Eurostat correction rises to 7.1% the deficit without grants
Alejandro Bolaños Madrid 22 ABR 2013 - 11:16 CET
The fight against the deficit, the government's priority in 2012, is settled with bittersweet results. The losses recorded by the banking aid untrusted raise the lag in recovering accounts last year to 10.6% of GDP, according to recently certified agency Eurostat statistics Brussels. It is the largest budget hole in the entire European Union, only close to Greece (10%).
If we exclude from the calculation the bailout, confirmed a reduction in the deficit (from 9% in 2011 to 7% in 2012), but even if the undertaking agreed with Brussels (6.3%), and gets out of the first hotline markets. Moreover, if the public debt, which adds the bailout, but also government credit to the regions to pay suppliers, is growing faster than the EU in recent months, seven percentage points in the last quarter last year and counting.
Spain has eight European countries ahead on the accumulated public debt, an indicator that the markets pay almost as much attention as the lack of activity, the Spanish economy suffers a prolonged recession of 2008-2009 since -. But, for investors, more important is the rate at which it grows: the gap between the end of 2011 (69.3%) and 2012 (84.2% of GDP) is just remarkable. And in the first two months of the year, the Spanish public debt is already around 87%.
Nothing better reflects the difficulty of adjusting the budget in a recession as the evolution of public revenues. After the largest tax increase in democracy (surcharge on income tax, VAT hike, elimination of deductions on income tax), the ratio of revenue to GDP only increased from 35.7% to 36.4%, with the burdened by the huge collection unemployment (which cuts and labor reforms have given another push) and the lack of economic activity. Only Ireland, within the eurozone, has a lower level of public revenues.
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The contrast with Germany, the largest economy of the euro, is huge. Angela Merkel's government has coseguido close 2012 in surplus (0.2% of GDP), something out of reach of the rest of the European Union. Also, a reminder that Berlin does not believe in spending growth to support the rest of the eurozone, as demanded by the IMF. And the slight increase of the public debt (80.4% to 81.9%) has to do mainly with the money put in the bailouts of Greece, Ireland and Portugal (over 56,000 million).
The Government will rely on statistical evidence to substantiate its request that the European Commission will for up to two years to bring the deficit to 3% of GDP. More so when the economic forecasts that the PP Executive will review this week, suggest that the recession, the sharper than he anticipated the official estimate (-0.5% vs. -1.6% forecast by the IMF), runs until the end of the year.
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