スペインの銀行業界の決算は、2011年は174億3600万0000ユーロの損失で、2012年は845億0000'0000ユーロの損失で、2011年ー2012年の損失は1000億0000'0000ユーロに登る。不良債権(貸し倒れ)の準備金の割り当てのため。
Negocio bancario en España en 2013-14: lo comido por lo servido
Por: Daniel Manzano| 23 de abril de 2013
los beneficios de los cinco años anteriores (2006-2010). Véase el gráfico adjunto.
Fuente: Banco de España
Banking business in Spain in 2013-14: it served eaten so
By: Daniel Manzano | April 23, 2013
There certainly have been good years for the banking business in Spain for the past-2011 and 2012. Based on the information provided by the Bank of Spain, their aggregate pre-tax results have continued to fall from its high of nearly 30,000 million reached in 2007 (see the post I wrote last July in this blog) . Moreover, for the first time in recent history, the banking business in Spain has chained two consecutive years of losses totaling 100,000 million: 17,436,000 in 2011 and 84,504,000 in 2012.
As spectacular figures come from the behavior of the margin before provisions, which although has suffered through the difficult economic and financial environment is not subject to swings of this magnitude. The fundamental reason lies in the important provisions for impairment losses in the loan portfolio, which entities have had to result in delinquency and foreclosure of assets damaged. If such provisions were already nearly 45,000 million in 2011, exceeding abundantly pre-provision a margin of nearly 27,000 million in that year, 2012 proved to be two and half times higher than the previous year, which has become a spectacular final figure pretax losses. Note to understand the scope, only the losses of the last two years have swept away the benefits of the previous five years (2006-2010). See the accompanying graph.
Source: Bank of Spain
Clearly, such dramatic figures endowments, particularly those of 2012, are linked to major consolidation efforts that have been made entities, for mor largely should also say, from the impositions of our European partners to access aid to the banking sector that were negotiated in the MoU (Memorandum of Understanding) to the middle of last year.
The question immediately arises what will happen this year and the next? Afi usually do this exercise prospective Banking Workshop which gathers twice a year, the last of which was held just two weeks ago. Of course, the adverse economic and financial conditions prevailing still prevent substantial improvement anticipate pre-margin sector provisions, despite the positive effect that undoubtedly will have on the entities that have received aid and made the transfer SAREB to damaged property assets, as well as public and private recapitalization (burden sharing) that is in process. Now, what will remain crucial is the need / obligation to continue providing supplies, due to the significant increase in defaults will still take place, which are indicative of the numbers of refinances (as I mentioned in my previous post of April 5).
It is true that the number of allowances to be made in these next two years.1 be far from that of 2012, but it will be even less important. So much so that, in our estimates, the profit before tax for the biennium 2013-14 the entire sector-by-business in Spain reflect that famous saying "it served eaten it." Presumably, therefore we have to wait until 2015 (though not necessarily individual banks) to redisplay cumulative figures significantly positive final margins in the sector.
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